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Nathan Bernhardt

Portland, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
80 matches · 42W–38L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.93
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 19 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
82%
stay 3.0
18%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 96% stay · 4% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.86. Lower than today’s 2.93 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
120 of 357
OR · 3.0
199 of 600

Nathan is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams15 teams · 2017–2026
MAC-Levine
2026 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Men
2026
MAC-Bosworth
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Men
2025
MAC-Stevenson
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Men
2025
MAC-Bosworth
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 3.0 Men
2024
MAC-Bosworth
2024 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Men
2024
MAC-Bernhardt
2023 Adult 40 & Over · 3.0 Men
2023
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Nathan has played at 3.5, 3.0 across 6 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.53.03.5201920222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Nathan has gone from the 62nd to the 63rd percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.0
58%
40W–29L · 53% of games
3.5
18.2%
2W–9L · 31.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history80 matches
L
2026-07-10 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.025below expectation — took 33% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 4-1
W
2026-05-27 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.008better than expected — took 67% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 4-2
W
2026-05-19 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.037better than expected — took 71% of games against 51% expected
6-4, 6-1
W
2026-04-22 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.024better than expected — took 53% of games against 44% expected
6-4, 1-3, 1-0
W
Mazyar Afshar
2026-04-20 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.024below expectation — took 57% of games against 64% expected
7-6, 6-4
L
2026-04-19 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.009about as expected — took 44% of games against 41% expected
3-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-04-17 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.031better than expected — took 75% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
N/A
2026-03-15 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.083better than expected — took 100% of games against 54% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-02-07 · MAC-Levine · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with James Thomas
0.057below expectation — took 14% of games against 46% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
2026-01-18 · MAC-Levine · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Claude Bosworth
+0.002about as expected — took 54% of games against 53% expected
6-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
2025-12-28 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.015below expectation — took 42% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
John Michael Murphy
2025-11-09 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.010about as expected — took 59% of games against 61% expected
6-1, 3-6, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.