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Maria Lowry

Las Vegas, NV
3.0C year-end 2025
513 matches · 257W–256L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.07
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 43 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
18%
stay 3.0
82%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 64% stay · 36% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.97. Lower than today’s 3.07 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Las Vegas · 3.0
32 of 134
NV · 3.0
41 of 166

Maria is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Maria has played at 2.5, 3.0 across 8 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.02.53.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Maria has gone from the 6th to the 63rd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level10 levels played
2.5
39.4%
26W–40L · 48% of games
3.0
51.9%
97W–90L · 51.2% of games
3.5
32.8%
21W–43L · 44.8% of games
4.0
1W–0L
not enough matches yet
6.0
81.2%
39W–9L · 65.3% of games
7.0
22.9%
8W–27L · 43.8% of games
5.5mixed
57.1%
4W–3L · 57.9% of games
6.0mixed
50%
16W–16L · 47.5% of games
6.5mixed
50%
4W–4L · 49.3% of games
7.0mixed
84%
21W–4L · 58% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history513 matches
W
2026-07-14 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Lisa Schnitz
+0.011about as expected — took 50% of games against 46% expected
7-5, 3-6, 1-0
L
2026-06-12 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Anne Kellogg
0.035below expectation — took 33% of games against 51% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-05-28 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Anne Kellogg
0.012below expectation — took 35% of games against 43% expected
6-1, 7-6
W
Holly Crosby / Trish Bradley-Garvin
2026-05-22 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Ada Vera
0.006about as expected — took 65% of games against 63% expected
6-0, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-05-20 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Patti Zack
+0.003about as expected — took 50% of games against 48% expected
3-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
Sheri Cherubino / Juli Kochanski
2026-05-15 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Barbara Randell
0.029below expectation — took 41% of games against 54% expected
6-3, 7-6
W
Jamie Johnson / Nicole Nestman
2026-05-13 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Anne Kellogg
0.007about as expected — took 50% of games against 54% expected
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Janis Elliott / Sharon Pleines
2026-05-09 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Barbara Randell
+0.018better than expected — took 75% of games against 62% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
Christine Ballard / Karen Watts
2026-05-07 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Liz MacDonald
+0.020about as expected — took 37% of games against 33% expected
6-3, 6-4
L
Tracey Lee / Yan Uyeno
2026-05-06 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Anne Kellogg
0.008below expectation — took 25% of games against 35% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
ANN MARIE WEAVER / Casey Primmer
2026-05-05 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Barbara Randell
0.020below expectation — took 39% of games against 49% expected
4-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
Kelly Twells / Gina Rivera
2026-05-01 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Barbara Randell
+0.034better than expected — took 71% of games against 53% expected
6-4, 6-1
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