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Stephen Chen

Portland, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
49 matches · 31W–18L · seasons 20222026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.99
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 11 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
54%
stay 3.0
46%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 87% stay · 13% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.91. Lower than today’s 2.99 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
80 of 357
OR · 3.0
132 of 600

Stephen is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Stephen has been a steady 3.0 across all 5 seasons on record.

2.53.020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2022 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Stephen has gone from the 55th to the 69th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.0
76%
19W–6L · 58.1% of games
3.5
1W–2L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
58.3%
7W–5L · 55.3% of games
7.0mixed
20%
1W–4L · 46.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history49 matches
W
Lindsey Yeung / Nathan Watsonmixed
2026-06-27 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Joy Heinecke
+0.000better than expected — took 71% of games against 44% expected
6-1, 6-4
L
2026-05-31 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.019below expectation — took 25% of games against 39% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
Yung-sheng Chang
2026-05-17 · #2 Singles · 3.0
+0.002better than expected — took 80% of games against 69% expected
6-3, 6-0
W
James Tomlinson
2026-05-09 · #2 Singles · 3.0
0.016about as expected — took 62% of games against 65% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
Yung-sheng Chang
2026-04-18 · #2 Singles · 3.0
0.005about as expected — took 71% of games against 66% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
David Williams
2026-03-01 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.036below expectation — took 46% of games against 60% expected
7-6, 7-6
W
2026-01-17 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.025below expectation — took 63% of games against 68% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
2025-12-06 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Susan Sienko
+0.000about as expected — took 60% of games against 63% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
Tamarsh Abeysekera / Ann Jensenmixed
2025-11-23 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Meagan Lake
+0.000below expectation — took 53% of games against 64% expected
6-4, 2-6, 1-0
W
Davis Carlisle / Annie Huangmixed
2025-10-17 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Joy Heinecke
+0.000better than expected — took 67% of games against 53% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2025-10-10 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Joy Heinecke
+0.000below expectation — took 38% of games against 60% expected
7-6, 6-2
L
Na Yung Yu / Jonathan Chunmixed
2025-08-10 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Madeleine Bourland
+0.000about as expected — took 56% of games against 52% expected
0-6, 6-3, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.