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John Crouter

CAMAS, WA
4.0C year-end 2024
42 matches · 21W–21L · seasons 20222026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.46
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 3 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
70%
down to 3.5
30%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 45% down · 55% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.51. Higher than today’s 3.46 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 4.0
756 of 782

John is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams11 teams · 2022–2026
VTC-Won
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Men
2026
VTC-Won
2025 Mixed 18 & Over · 8.0 Mixed
2025
VTC-Mills/Porter
2025 Mixed 18 & Over · 7.0 Mixed
2025
VTC-Won
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Men
2025
VTC-Won
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Men
2024
VTC-Mills/Porter
2024 Mixed 18 & Over · 7.0 Mixed
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

John has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 5 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2026 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, John has gone from the 36th to the 100th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2023.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
69.2%
9W–4L · 61% of games
4.0
20%
2W–8L · 38.8% of games
7.0mixed
63.6%
7W–4L · 57.5% of games
8.0mixed
42.9%
3W–4L · 53.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history42 matches
L
Dan Valencia
2026-06-14 · VTC-Won · #1 Singles · 4.0
0.013below expectation — took 33% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-05-30 · VTC-Won · #1 Singles · 4.0
0.036below expectation — took 8% of games against 34% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
Ian Mccarty
2026-03-29 · VTC-Won · #2 Singles · 4.0
+0.031better than expected — took 44% of games against 34% expected
3-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
2025-05-10 · VTC-Won · #2 Singles · 4.0
0.007about as expected — took 38% of games against 43% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
2025-04-13 · VTC-Won · #2 Singles · 4.0
+0.026better than expected — took 40% of games against 33% expected
5-7, 6-1, 1-0
W
2024-11-24 · VTC-Mills/Porter · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mera Cosgrove
+0.000better than expected — took 75% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
2024-11-23 · VTC-Won · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Amanda Wagner
+0.000better than expected — took 71% of games against 51% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
2024-11-17 · VTC-Won · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Amanda Wagner
+0.000better than expected — took 50% of games against 39% expected
7-6, 4-6, 1-0
W
N/Amixed
2024-11-09 · VTC-Won · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Amanda Wagner
+0.000better than expected — took 100% of games against 87% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2024-10-27 · VTC-Mills/Porter · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mera Cosgrove
+0.000below expectation — took 8% of games against 45% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
2024-10-18 · VTC-Mills/Porter · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mera Cosgrove
+0.000about as expected — took 57% of games against 57% expected
1-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
2024-03-30 · VTC-Won · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Alan Jones
+0.003about as expected — took 50% of games against 50% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
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