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Patrick Koeberl

Portland, OR
2.5C year-end 2025
87 matches · 41W–46L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.79
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 29 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
0%
stay 2.5
100%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 5% stay · 95% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.63. Lower than today’s 2.79 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 2.5
3 of 34
OR · 2.5
4 of 61

Patrick is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Patrick has been a steady 2.5 across all 4 seasons on record.

2.02.52023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 2.5, Patrick has gone from the 44th to the 43rd percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
2.5
66.7%
30W–15L · 58.8% of games
3.0
0%
0W–9L · 14.2% of games
2.5mixed
45.5%
5W–6L · 47.7% of games
6.0mixed
25%
3W–9L · 42.4% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history87 matches
L
Jason Lee / June Xiaomixed
2026-07-26 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with JEAN CHEN
+0.000about as expected — took 50% of games against 48% expected
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
L
Paul Walker / Andrea Sommermixed
2026-07-18 · #3 Doubles · 2.5 · with Hiroko Ishikawa
+0.000below expectation — took 38% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
Cecily Schmidt / Charlie Schmidtmixed
2026-06-28 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with JEAN CHEN
+0.000below expectation — took 44% of games against 64% expected
6-3, 0-6, 1-0
L
Shujian Li / Teng Yangchamps
2026-06-21 · #2 Doubles · with Glen Mason
0.074below expectation — took 20% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 6-0
W
Aric Avina / Ty Bairchamps
2026-06-20 · #2 Doubles · with Krishna Kasturi
0.002better than expected — took 75% of games against 68% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
N/A
2026-06-18 · #1 Singles · 2.5
+0.094better than expected — took 100% of games against 49% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
N/A
2026-06-16 · #1 Singles · 2.5
+0.163better than expected — took 100% of games against 30% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
N/A
2026-06-16 · #1 Singles · 2.5
+0.114better than expected — took 100% of games against 42% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Devin Hicks
2026-06-14 · #1 Singles · 2.5
0.039below expectation — took 50% of games against 63% expected
3-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
Becki Garrow / Ed Garrowmixed
2026-05-24 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Kathleen Cooney
+0.000below expectation — took 53% of games against 60% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
W
Aric Avina / Cole Medlock - (DQ)
2026-05-23 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Krishna Kasturi
0.012about as expected — took 60% of games against 63% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
Kevin Day / Roger Walker
2026-05-15 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Donghyup Ryu
0.061below expectation — took 44% of games against 66% expected
7-6, 7-5
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.