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Jan Wich-Herrlein

Portland, OR
4.5C year-end 2025
44 matches · 25W–19L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

4.08
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 14 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
17%
down to 4.0
83%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 11% down · 89% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.10. Higher than today’s 4.08 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 4.5
60 of 119
OR · 4.5
120 of 226

Jan is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams8 teams · 2023–2026
THPRD-Rankin/Shull
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2026
THPRD-Rankin/Shull
2026 Adult 40 & Over · 4.5 Men
2026
THPRD-Rankin/Shull
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2025
THPRD-Rankin/Shull
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 4.5 Men
2025
THPRD-Rankin/Shull
2024 Adult 18 & Over · 4.5 Men
2024
SAC-Jou
2024 Adult 40 & Over · 4.5 Men
2024
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jan has been 4.5 for all 4 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

4.04.52023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Jan has gone from the 81st to the 33rd percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level1 levels played
4.5
56.8%
25W–19L · 52.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history44 matches
L
2026-06-07 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #1 Singles · 4.5
+0.003about as expected — took 33% of games against 36% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
Sotaro Noguchi
2026-05-31 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #1 Singles · 4.5
0.037below expectation — took 33% of games against 52% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
2026-05-30 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jameson Lumpkin
+0.002about as expected — took 65% of games against 61% expected
7-5, 6-2
L
Khang Chu / Aryan Gupta
2026-05-10 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Luke Wheeler
0.083below expectation — took 25% of games against 63% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-04-25 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jameson Lumpkin
+0.033better than expected — took 75% of games against 56% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-04-04 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #1 Singles · 4.5
+0.004about as expected — took 40% of games against 40% expected
5-7, 6-1, 1-0
L
Joe Brooks
2026-03-28 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #2 Singles · 4.5
0.011below expectation — took 37% of games against 43% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
2026-02-22 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #1 Singles · 4.5
0.073below expectation — took 8% of games against 47% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
2026-02-08 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Asim Hafeez
0.025below expectation — took 45% of games against 56% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-02-06 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #1 Singles · 4.5
+0.024better than expected — took 75% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-01-31 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #1 Singles · 4.5
+0.008about as expected — took 55% of games against 51% expected
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
W
Jack Yothers / Andrew Sheppert
2026-01-24 · THPRD-Rankin/Shull · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Luke Filose
0.031below expectation — took 56% of games against 66% expected
2-6, 6-1, 1-0
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