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Stephen Blum

Vancouver, WA
2.5C year-end 2025
73 matches · 20W–53L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.59
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 4 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
14%
stay 2.5
86%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 59% stay · 41% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.48. Lower than today’s 2.59 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 2.5
15 of 35

Stephen is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Stephen has played at 2.5, 3.0 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.02.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2026 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 2.5, Stephen has gone from the 73rd to the 65th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
2.5
48.4%
15W–16L · 50% of games
3.0
11.1%
3W–24L · 30.7% of games
2.5mixed
1W–2L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
12.5%
1W–7L · 25% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history73 matches
L
Trask Court / Paul Morris
2026-05-24 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Ryan Fitzgerald
0.026below expectation — took 41% of games against 53% expected
6-2, 6-7, 1-0
L
2026-05-02 · #2 Singles · 3.0
0.034below expectation — took 0% of games against 30% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-04-26 · #2 Singles · 3.0
+0.010below expectation — took 8% of games against 18% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
Erik Guttormsen / Jonathan Trussell
2026-03-28 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Ryan Fitzgerald
0.001about as expected — took 43% of games against 44% expected
1-6, 6-0, 1-0
L
Clover Newman / Seth Robinschamps
2025-09-20 · #1 Doubles · with Elma Blum
+0.054better than expected — took 52% of games against 31% expected
3-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
Jeremy Newton-Smith / Nanxiao Zhangchamps
2025-09-19 · #2 Doubles · with Elma Blum
+0.035better than expected — took 35% of games against 28% expected
6-0, 4-6, 1-0
L
Matthew Thoreson / Lora Lordmixed
2025-07-27 · #2 Doubles · 2.5 · with Elma Blum
+0.000below expectation — took 45% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
W
Suk Chung / Woojin Leemixed
2025-07-12 · #3 Doubles · 2.5 · with Elma Blum
+0.000about as expected — took 59% of games against 60% expected
6-2, 6-7, 1-0
L
Hiroe Felix / Andrew Smithmixed
2025-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Elma Blum
+0.000better than expected — took 29% of games against 4% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
Michael Olson / Shane Spiering
2025-06-14 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kevin Grant
0.075below expectation — took 25% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
Naylan Brady / Davis Carlisle
2025-06-08 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with James Araujo
0.013below expectation — took 37% of games against 44% expected
6-3, 6-4
L
Andy Mones / Paul Ecker
2025-05-31 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with David Hubka
0.008below expectation — took 33% of games against 40% expected
6-2, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.