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James Araujo

Vancouver, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
261 matches · 77W–184L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.55
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 26 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
28%
down to 2.5
72%
stay 3.0
0%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 17% down · 83% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.58. Higher than today’s 2.55 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Vancouver · 3.0
52 of 52
WA · 3.0
749 of 755

James is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams58 teams · 2019–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

James has been 3.0 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

2.02.53.02019202020212022202320252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, James has gone from the 32nd to the 21st percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
38.5%
25W–40L · 43.4% of games
6.0
55.3%
21W–17L · 53.1% of games
6.5
13.5%
5W–32L · 36.5% of games
7.0
17.6%
3W–14L · 34.7% of games
6.0mixed
26.5%
18W–50L · 41% of games
7.0mixed
16.7%
4W–20L · 31.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history261 matches
W
Daniel Ellis / Shannon Wagnermixed
2026-07-18 · VTC-Brown/Olson · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Deborah Self
+0.000better than expected — took 53% of games against 43% expected
6-2, 2-6, 1-0
L
Laura Baughman / Greg Heatonmixed
2026-07-12 · VTC-Brown/Olson · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Deborah Self
+0.000about as expected — took 52% of games against 57% expected
7-6, 3-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-21 · VTC-Brown/Olson · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Amy Hicks
+0.000better than expected — took 56% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 3-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-13 · VTC-Grant(s) · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kevin Grant
0.020below expectation — took 53% of games against 61% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Jay Waters / Hao Lee
2026-06-07 · VTC-Grant(s) · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jason Graham
+0.057better than expected — took 80% of games against 50% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-05-31 · VTC-Grant(s) · #1 Doubles · with Gena Martinez
0.005below expectation — took 25% of games against 34% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
2026-05-24 · NOR-VTC-Olson · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Gena Martinez
+0.000about as expected — took 29% of games against 34% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
Ned Cannon / Daniel Ellis
2026-05-02 · VTC-Grant(s) · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Tom Hsu
0.045below expectation — took 8% of games against 37% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
2026-04-26 · VTC-Grant(s) · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Tom Hsu
+0.029better than expected — took 67% of games against 51% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
2026-04-19 · NOR-VTC-Olson · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Deborah Self
+0.000better than expected — took 67% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Dave Ramm / Phyllis Shenmixed
2026-03-29 · NOR-VTC-Olson · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Deborah Self
+0.000better than expected — took 80% of games against 52% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
2026-03-13 · NOR-VTC-Olson · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Gena Martinez
+0.000better than expected — took 58% of games against 46% expected
7-5, 7-5
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