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Connie Arevalo

Charlotte, NC
3.0C year-end 2025
121 matches · 85W–36L · seasons 2023–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.32
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 44 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
0%
stay 3.0
100%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 3% stay · 97% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.15. Lower than today’s 3.32 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Charlotte · 3.0
10 of 115
NC · 3.0
14 of 189
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Connie is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Connie has been a steady 3.0 across all 4 seasons on record.

2.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Connie has gone from the 87th to the 97th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
79.7%
47W–12L · 64.2% of games
3.5
60%
12W–8L · 51.5% of games
4.0
83.3%
5W–1L · 55.7% of games
5.5
88.9%
8W–1L · 70.7% of games
6.5
45%
9W–11L · 47.4% of games
3.0mixed
60%
3W–2L · 55.3% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history121 matches
W
Bill Pleasants / Zerrin Tatmanmixed
2026-07-25 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Gus Sinibaldi
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 6-2
L
Jennifer Harling / Jennifer Hong
2026-07-16 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Gladys Shinmoto
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-7, 7-5, 1-0
W
2026-07-13 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Zahide Marenic
+0.009about as expected — took 59% of games against 54% expected
6-2, 6-7, 1-0
L
Rachel Miller / Caroline Skjoedt
2026-07-09 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Laura Pratt
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-3
W
N/A
2026-07-07 · #3 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-07-06 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Brad Bumgarner
+0.000better than expected — took 75% of games against 43% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
Janette Billings / Lindsay Fleharty
2026-07-02 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with JJ Zhu
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-3
W
Suzanne Austin / Erin Moser
2026-06-29 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Gladys Shinmoto
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 3-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-25 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Christina Prejean
+0.019better than expected — took 53% of games against 45% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
Mary Katherine Hardy
2026-06-23 · #1 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 2-6, 1-0
W
Butch Mayer / Melissa Moloneymixed
2026-06-15 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Rolf Schomaker
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
7-5, 6-3
L
Eric Ovendorf / Mary Wolfmixed
2026-06-13 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Brad Bumgarner
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
7-6, 6-3
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