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Paulo Mesaros

Seattle, WA
2.5C year-end 2025
36 matches · 15W–21L · seasons 2024–2026
Bump probability
2.02.53.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
2.62
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 22 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.0
6%
stay 2.5
94%
up to 3.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 45% stay · 55% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.51. Lower than today’s 2.62 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 2.5 runs from 2.01 to 2.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Seattle · 2.5
15 of 94
WA · 2.5
75 of 340
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Paulo is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Paulo has been 2.5 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.02.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 2.5, Paulo has gone from the 3rd to the 47th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
2.5
40%
10W–15L · 43.8% of games
3.0
33.3%
2W–4L · 43% of games
3.0mixed
60%
3W–2L · 43% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history36 matches
L
2026-07-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Felix Acuna
+0.027better than expected — took 35% of games against 30% expected
6-1, 7-6
W
N/A
2026-06-28 · #1 Singles · 2.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
David Vavrichek
2026-06-15 · #1 Singles · 2.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-4
L
Prateek Shankar / Forrest Yu
2026-05-22 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Jerry Osborn
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 5-7, 1-0
W
David Eckols / Kevin Mcdonald
2026-05-16 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Jerry Osborn
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
5-7, 7-5, 1-0
W
2026-05-09 · #1 Singles · 2.5
+0.077better than expected — took 86% of games against 46% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
2026-05-08 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kyuho Lee
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-1
W
Kit Merker / Bryce Danz
2026-04-26 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Greg Reynolds
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-2
L
Lee Slaughter / Jeffrey Christenson
2026-04-25 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Joseph Pena
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-7, 6-3, 1-0
W
Harish Mallidi / Armin Alaghi
2026-04-18 · #1 Doubles · 2.5 · with Jerry Osborn
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 7-6
W
Xiaokai He
2026-04-14 · #1 Singles · 2.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 4-4
L
Keith Wong / Anthony DiLorenzo
2026-04-12 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Arjun Singh
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.