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Megan Chau

Boise, ID
3.0C year-end 2025
70 matches · 49W–21L · seasons 2024–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.07
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 30 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
19%
stay 3.0
81%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 65% stay · 35% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.97. Lower than today’s 3.07 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Boise · 3.0
32 of 79
ID · 3.0
70 of 240
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Megan is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Megan has been a steady 3.0 across all 3 seasons on record.

2.53.0202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Megan has gone from the 52nd to the 78th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
64.1%
25W–14L · 56.9% of games
3.5
1W–2L
not enough matches yet
4.0
80%
4W–1L · 57.5% of games
6.0mixed
100%
5W–0L · 88.2% of games
6.5mixed
100%
4W–0L · 67.1% of games
7.0mixed
3W–0L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history70 matches
W
2026-07-11 · #1 Doubles · with Myles Ozo
+0.000below expectation — took 52% of games against 60% expected
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
Hailey Mann / Nick Arismendimixedchamps
2026-07-11 · #1 Doubles · with Myles Ozo
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 6-2
L
Andrew Kop / Stephanie Sabgamixedchamps
2026-07-10 · #1 Doubles · with Judah Dorn
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
Ashley Moore / Celita Skelton
2026-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Michelle Dorn
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-06-14 · #3 Doubles · with Jacob Wingerd
+0.000better than expected — took 50% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
W
Heather Gunter / Joe Guntermixedchamps
2026-06-13 · #1 Doubles · with Judah Dorn
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-2, 6-0
L
2026-06-13 · #2 Doubles · with Jacob Wingerd
+0.000below expectation — took 42% of games against 49% expected
7-5, 7-5
W
2026-06-13 · #1 Doubles · with Rick Roby
+0.000better than expected — took 86% of games against 52% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
Joe Gunter / Heather Guntermixedchamps
2026-06-12 · #2 Doubles · with Judah Dorn
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-1, 6-1
W
2026-06-12 · #1 Doubles · with Judah Dorn
+0.000better than expected — took 86% of games against 59% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
Tom Chambers / Grace Jorymixedchamps
2026-06-12 · #3 Doubles · with Jacob Wingerd
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4, 6-4
W
Jennifer Kovacs
2026-06-10 · #2 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.