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Matt Grant

Olympia, WA
4.5C year-end 2025
140 matches · 67W–73L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

4.10
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 8 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
10%
down to 4.0
90%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 7% down · 93% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.12. Higher than today’s 4.10 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the lower half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Olympia · 4.5
4 of 8
WA · 4.5
169 of 364

Matt is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Matt has been 4.5 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

4.04.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Matt has gone from the 72nd to the 7th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.5
45.2%
28W–34L · 48.8% of games
8.0
60%
9W–6L · 54.7% of games
9.0
63.6%
7W–4L · 55.6% of games
8.0mixed
46.7%
14W–16L · 47.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history140 matches
W
Liana Hunsaker / David Smithmixed
2026-03-29 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Kathi McKay
+0.000about as expected — took 57% of games against 54% expected
5-7, 6-2, 1-0
L
Victor Mau / Tamami Tomidachamps
2026-03-15 · #3 Doubles · with Kathi McKay
0.031below expectation — took 33% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Tong Zhang / Rudolf van Molchamps
2026-03-14 · #3 Doubles · with Kathi McKay
+0.042better than expected — took 75% of games against 52% expected
6-4, 6-0
L
Jeff Probandt / Kim Daughertychamps
2026-03-13 · #3 Doubles · with Kathi McKay
0.023below expectation — took 41% of games against 52% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
Patrick Vichit
2026-03-08 · #1 Singles · 4.5
+0.010about as expected — took 42% of games against 40% expected
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
2026-02-21 · #1 Singles · 4.5
0.010below expectation — took 25% of games against 36% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
Justin Sleasman
2026-01-11 · #1 Singles · 4.5
0.015below expectation — took 25% of games against 38% expected
6-4, 6-0
L
Nicholas Kaloudis / Matthew Simons
2026-01-09 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Dan Graham
0.024below expectation — took 29% of games against 44% expected
6-4, 6-1
W
2026-01-03 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Kevin Andry
+0.029better than expected — took 52% of games against 41% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2025-11-02 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Michael Davis
+0.051better than expected — took 92% of games against 61% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
2025-09-27 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Kevin Acuff
0.035below expectation — took 63% of games against 71% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
Denise Wolfe / Michael Manleychamps
2025-09-22 · #1 Doubles · with Jill Shanda
0.023below expectation — took 29% of games against 43% expected
6-1, 6-4
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.