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Mel Fernandez

Fort Collins, CO
3.5C year-end 2025
109 matches · 41W–68L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.50
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 8 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
50%
stay 3.5
50%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 85% stay · 15% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.42. Lower than today’s 3.50 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Fort Collins · 3.5
4 of 32
CO · 3.5
13 of 68
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Mel is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Mel has played at 4.0, 3.5 across 7 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

3.03.54.02019202020212022202320242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2020 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 7.0, Mel has gone from the 29th to the 56th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
4.0
26.6%
17W–47L · 43.3% of games
7.0
53.8%
14W–12L · 49.8% of games
8.0
50%
8W–8L · 48.3% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history109 matches
L
2026-08-05 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Judy O'Gorman
+0.001about as expected — took 37% of games against 39% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2026-07-22 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Judy O'Gorman
+0.011better than expected — took 60% of games against 54% expected
6-4, 6-4
W
Susan Davidson / Debora J Miller
2026-07-15 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Judy O'Gorman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 7-5
W
2026-07-01 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Judy O'Gorman
+0.010better than expected — took 63% of games against 57% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Janice Mossberg / Kathy Jacobson
2026-05-27 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Rosalie Krammer
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 7-5
L
Celeste Blackburn / Edie LaFonte
2026-05-22 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Sara Schaffer
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
Debbie Hansen / Janet Crespin
2026-05-20 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Sara Schaffer
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-4
W
Lisa Olsen / Karen Dunbar
2026-04-29 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Sara Schaffer
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-1
W
Carol Nappholz / Linda Smithchamps
2025-09-10 · #1 Doubles · with Judy O'Gorman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
3-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
Laura Saiber Ehrlich / Allison Bookmyerchamps
2025-09-09 · #1 Doubles · with Judy O'Gorman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 3-2
W
Adrienne LeBailly / Sara Mullarkey
2025-07-30 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Judy O'Gorman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2025-07-16 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mary Jane Bartley
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 7-6, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.