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Matt Locke

Nampa, ID
4.0C year-end 2025
87 matches · 53W–34L · seasons 2022–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
4.14
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 3 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
4%
stay 4.0
96%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 38% stay · 62% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.02. Lower than today’s 4.14 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
ID · 4.0
2 of 216
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Matt is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Matt has played at 4.5, 5.0, 4.0 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 2 down.

3.54.04.55.02022202320242025

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Matt has gone from the 88th to the 98th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level9 levels played
4.5
86.4%
19W–3L · 68% of games
5.0
42.9%
6W–8L · 48.6% of games
10.0mixed
0%
0W–4L · 26.9% of games
7.0mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.5mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
8.5mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
9.0mixed
33.3%
2W–4L · 47.1% of games
9.5mixed
60%
6W–4L · 50% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history87 matches
L
2026-07-28 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Ashley Locke
+0.000better than expected — took 50% of games against 39% expected
7-6, 4-6, 1-0
W
2026-07-21 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Ashley Locke
+0.000better than expected — took 67% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
2026-07-16 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Anke Heineck
+0.000about as expected — took 58% of games against 62% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
Booshan Bharath / Kerry Reilingchamps
2025-11-08 · #2 Doubles · with Kayce McEwan
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Anton Talle / Jennifer Ryderchamps
2025-11-07 · #1 Doubles · with Robyn Roby
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
W
Ada Hansen / Preston Freechamps
2025-10-05 · #1 Doubles · with Chelsey Melby
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-3
W
Bruce Call / Lyndsi Whitworthchamps
2025-10-04 · #3 Doubles · with Stacey Walker
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-4
W
Jane Jussila / Eric Strombergchamps
2025-09-27 · #2 Doubles · with Robyn Roby
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-3
W
2025-09-26 · #1 Doubles · with Robyn Roby
+0.031better than expected — took 67% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2025-09-08 · #3 Doubles · 7.5 · with Hailey Smith
+0.000below expectation — took 41% of games against 54% expected
6-1, 3-6, 1-0
L
Danny Owen / Brian Kastelerchamps
2025-09-06 · #3 Doubles · with Mike Kirby
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
W
2025-09-05 · #3 Doubles · with Greg Ferney
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-3
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.