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Vincent Choi

Mukilteo, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
93 matches · 55W–38L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.35
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
97%
stay 3.5
3%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.31. Lower than today’s 3.35 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Mukilteo · 3.5
3 of 13
WA · 3.5
418 of 1209

Vincent is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Vincent has been 3.5 for all 6 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.5202020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2020 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Vincent has gone from the 21st to the 49th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.5
48.3%
14W–15L · 49.8% of games
4.0
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
7.0
81.8%
18W–4L · 64.6% of games
8.0
33.3%
2W–4L · 42.7% of games
7.0mixed
64.7%
11W–6L · 55% of games
8.0mixed
0W–2L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history93 matches
W
2026-03-28 · #3 Doubles · with Tri Dang
+0.028better than expected — took 80% of games against 61% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Surya Potturu / Gavarraju Nanduri
2026-03-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mariano Ortiz Jr
+0.017better than expected — took 57% of games against 47% expected
1-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
J Michael Diaz / Chuck Kelley
2026-02-27 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mariano Ortiz Jr
+0.007about as expected — took 44% of games against 44% expected
0-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
Timur Sadykov / Matthew Levering
2026-02-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Steven Kim
0.036below expectation — took 25% of games against 45% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
2026-02-07 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mariano Ortiz Jr
+0.018better than expected — took 52% of games against 46% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Brian MacDuff / Bates McKeechamps
2025-12-07 · #2 Doubles · with Steven Kim
0.010below expectation — took 40% of games against 45% expected
5-7, 6-1, 1-0
W
David Pogue / RICHARD NELSON
2025-10-05 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Steven Kim
+0.026better than expected — took 75% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
Bill Patz / James Hornsby
2025-09-28 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Steven Kim
+0.029better than expected — took 86% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
William Brown / Jeff Schwager
2025-09-20 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mariano Ortiz Jr
+0.052better than expected — took 71% of games against 45% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
2025-07-12 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Dorrie Johnson
+0.000better than expected — took 38% of games against 28% expected
6-3, 7-5
L
2025-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Dorrie Johnson
+0.000about as expected — took 37% of games against 37% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2025-02-23 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mariano Ortiz Jr
0.002about as expected — took 57% of games against 57% expected
5-7, 6-2, 1-0
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