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Steve McRae

Renton, WA
4.5C year-end 2025
136 matches · 61W–75L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.95
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 14 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
75%
down to 4.0
25%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 49% down · 51% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.00. Higher than today’s 3.95 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Renton · 4.5
10 of 13
WA · 4.5
291 of 364

Steve is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Steve has played at 4.5, 4.0 across 8 seasons — 1 move up and 1 down.

3.54.04.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Steve has gone from the 36th to the 2nd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
4.0
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
4.5
37.7%
23W–38L · 44.5% of games
8.0
79.3%
23W–6L · 61.6% of games
9.0
50%
7W–7L · 51.2% of games
10.0mixed
1W–2L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
37.5%
3W–5L · 43.7% of games
9.0mixed
16.7%
2W–10L · 39.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history136 matches
L
2026-06-20 · #2 Doubles · 9.0 · with Akiko Suzuki
+0.000below expectation — took 20% of games against 51% expected
6-0, 6-3
L
Jason Kim / Joshua Glick
2026-06-07 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Skanda Iyer
−0.040below expectation — took 8% of games against 35% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
2026-05-31 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with VINAY Kumar
+0.005about as expected — took 48% of games against 45% expected
6-4, 5-7, 1-0
L
Benjamin Bethards / Felix Johnson
2026-04-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Hao Dang
−0.060below expectation — took 0% of games against 38% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-03-01 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Denis Tortop
+0.034better than expected — took 48% of games against 35% expected
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
2026-02-21 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Tim Mcroberts
−0.016below expectation — took 14% of games against 32% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
Robert Mann / David Drake
2026-02-14 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Tim Mcroberts
+0.003about as expected — took 33% of games against 36% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-01-31 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Adrian Cosma
−0.034below expectation — took 20% of games against 41% expected
6-0, 6-3
W
David Johnson / David Han
2026-01-03 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Adrian Cosma
−0.005about as expected — took 67% of games against 64% expected
2-1
W
2025-11-16 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Steve Oroszlan
+0.028better than expected — took 86% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
2025-11-02 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Carlos Ferreira
−0.017below expectation — took 57% of games against 62% expected
6-4, 7-6
L
2025-10-26 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Fred Wurden
−0.036below expectation — took 52% of games against 63% expected
2-6, 7-5, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.