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Manato Hirai

Bellevue, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
103 matches · 45W–58L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.59
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 13 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
12%
down to 3.5
88%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 8% down · 92% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.61. Higher than today’s 3.59 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Bellevue · 4.0
59 of 76
WA · 4.0
570 of 782

Manato is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Manato has been 4.0 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

3.54.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Manato has gone from the 48th to the 83rd percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
4.0
44.4%
32W–40L · 49.2% of games
7.0mixed
41.2%
7W–10L · 47.3% of games
8.0mixed
66.7%
6W–3L · 49.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history103 matches
W
2026-06-06 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with David Weibel
0.016about as expected — took 71% of games against 70% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
Ryan Ham / Hyeoncheol Jung
2026-05-22 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Brian Namba
+0.050better than expected — took 75% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-2
L
2026-05-09 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kevin Larson
0.005about as expected — took 43% of games against 45% expected
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
W
2026-05-02 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kevin Larson
+0.056better than expected — took 59% of games against 37% expected
7-6, 6-3
L
2026-04-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kevin Larson
+0.018better than expected — took 44% of games against 38% expected
7-6, 7-5
W
Chris Chau / Hesper Yu
2026-04-12 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kevin Larson
0.041below expectation — took 53% of games against 68% expected
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
W
William Snedegar / Jay Squire
2026-04-03 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kevin Larson
+0.020better than expected — took 50% of games against 43% expected
2-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-02-22 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Howard Tu
0.026below expectation — took 57% of games against 65% expected
6-4, 7-6
W
Chris Bridgeman / Rick Eberhardt
2026-02-08 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Kevin Larson
+0.035better than expected — took 71% of games against 52% expected
6-4, 6-1
W
2026-01-30 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Barry Nishimura
+0.006better than expected — took 86% of games against 71% expected
6-2, 6-0
L
Kathy Tsang / Hong Wangchamps
2025-11-08 · #1 Doubles · with Lainie Dickson
0.042below expectation — took 37% of games against 56% expected
6-3, 6-4
L
Ashley Smith / Unni Nairchamps
2025-11-07 · #1 Doubles · with Lainie Dickson
0.069below expectation — took 20% of games against 55% expected
6-2, 6-1
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.