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Tom Lux

Portland, OR
4.0C year-end 2025
119 matches · 75W–44L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.98
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 17 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
60%
stay 4.0
40%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 89% stay · 11% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.90. Lower than today’s 3.98 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 4.0
9 of 266
OR · 4.0
12 of 498

Tom is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams50 teams · 2009–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Tom has played at 4.5, 4.0 across 8 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

3.54.04.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2021 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Tom has gone from the 88th to the 92nd percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
4.0
73.3%
33W–12L · 59.4% of games
4.5
32%
8W–17L · 43.1% of games
8.0
90.5%
19W–2L · 70.1% of games
8.0mixed
75%
3W–1L · 50.7% of games
9.0mixed
10%
1W–9L · 37.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history119 matches
L
Owen Prendergast / Ken Schwerd
2026-07-23 · Broken String · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Mark King
0.047below expectation — took 25% of games against 50% expected
6-0, 6-4
W
Josh Meyer / Grant Grainger
2026-07-14 · Broken String · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Damon Ogden
+0.068better than expected — took 92% of games against 55% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
2026-06-29 · Broken String · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Mark King
+0.009better than expected — took 71% of games against 62% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2026-06-07 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Travis Friedrich
+0.031better than expected — took 80% of games against 60% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
2026-05-30 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Siamak Hajarizadeh
+0.003better than expected — took 75% of games against 66% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
Tony Mendoza / Micah Nelson
2026-05-24 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Travis Friedrich
0.042below expectation — took 45% of games against 64% expected
7-6, 2-6, 1-0
W
2026-05-10 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Brian Quisling
0.066below expectation — took 56% of games against 78% expected
7-6, 7-5
W
2026-04-26 · PTC-Ogden/Lux · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Travis Friedrich
+0.013better than expected — took 71% of games against 60% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2025-12-06 · IRV-Lux · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with James Fenner
+0.023better than expected — took 71% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2025-11-21 · IRV-Lux · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Terence Gariety
0.076below expectation — took 43% of games against 73% expected
7-6, 1-6, 1-0
W
2025-11-16 · IRV-Lux · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Damon Ogden
+0.013better than expected — took 62% of games against 55% expected
7-6, 6-2
W
2025-11-09 · IRV-Lux · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Mark King
+0.008better than expected — took 63% of games against 57% expected
3-6, 6-0, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.