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Chris Nelson

Bellevue, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
115 matches · 50W–65L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.20
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 19 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
1%
down to 3.0
99%
stay 3.5
0%
up to 4.0

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Bellevue · 3.5
67 of 96
WA · 3.5
858 of 1209

Chris is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Chris has been a steady 3.5 across all 8 seasons on record.

3.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Chris has gone from the 58th to the 32nd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.5
46.5%
33W–38L · 49.4% of games
4.0
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
7.0
33.3%
2W–4L · 41.3% of games
6.0mixed
1W–0L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
26.3%
5W–14L · 41.1% of games
8.0mixed
64.3%
9W–5L · 51.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history115 matches
L
2026-07-27 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Alex Camara
+0.008about as expected — took 29% of games against 33% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
N/Amixed
2026-07-26 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Jackie Vandenberg
+0.000about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Miwa Nagai / Scott Johnsonmixed
2026-07-19 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Nancy Fletcher
+0.000better than expected — took 55% of games against 47% expected
7-5, 1-6, 1-0
W
2026-07-12 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Susan Hurt
+0.000better than expected — took 63% of games against 43% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
2026-07-05 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Jennifer Clemente
+0.000about as expected — took 42% of games against 46% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
L
Eric Jiang / YIHENG TAO
2026-06-17 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Alex Camara
+0.014about as expected — took 29% of games against 31% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
2026-06-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Alex Camara
−0.033below expectation — took 38% of games against 54% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
Steve Yang / Alex Tan
2026-05-23 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mohammad Malakoutian
+0.006about as expected — took 50% of games against 46% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
2026-05-09 · #1 Singles · 3.5
−0.003below expectation — took 33% of games against 38% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Rick Wu / Kevin Lee
2026-05-03 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Juan Vegarra
+0.032better than expected — took 63% of games against 48% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
Allen Zhou / Rajesh Gatti
2026-04-12 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Juan Vegarra
−0.012about as expected — took 63% of games against 64% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
N/A
2026-02-23 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Luke Bienfang
+0.038better than expected — took 100% of games against 69% expected
6-0, 6-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.