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Arthur Nakata

Seattle, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
151 matches · 85W–66L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.21
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 26 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
0%
stay 3.0
100%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 17% stay · 83% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.08. Lower than today’s 3.21 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.0
5 of 144
WA · 3.0
26 of 755

Arthur is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Arthur has played at 3.5, 3.0 across 7 seasons — 0 moves up and 1 down.

2.53.03.52020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Arthur has gone from the 70th to the 88th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
50%
14W–14L · 55.1% of games
3.5
30.4%
7W–16L · 43.9% of games
6.0
77.8%
14W–4L · 62.1% of games
7.0
0%
0W–6L · 36.9% of games
6.0mixed
65.9%
29W–15L · 61% of games
7.0mixed
71.4%
10W–4L · 55.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history151 matches
W
Sheila Bernstein / Manoj Sharmamixed
2026-07-25 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Anna Chen
+0.000about as expected — took 53% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
W
Tina Zakahi / James Milton Smithmixed
2026-07-24 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Terri Smith
+0.000about as expected — took 50% of games against 50% expected
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
W
2026-07-19 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Terri Smith
+0.000below expectation — took 48% of games against 62% expected
7-6, 3-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-21 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Terri Smith
+0.000about as expected — took 67% of games against 66% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Nari Benson / Nguyen Hamixed
2026-06-20 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mutsumi Locklear
+0.000better than expected — took 67% of games against 51% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
N/A
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mike Kean
+0.035better than expected — took 100% of games against 70% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
James Thomas / Michael Bee
2026-04-25 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Scott Leonardson
+0.014better than expected — took 67% of games against 58% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
David Grace / Rohan Patwardhan
2026-04-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mike Kean
+0.001about as expected — took 44% of games against 44% expected
6-2, 3-6, 1-0
W
Yixiang Wang / Ziwei Liu
2026-03-29 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Ahlay Phylavong
+0.008about as expected — took 55% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
W
Ryan Mcintyre / Peter Robison
2026-03-14 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Todd Fauchald
+0.009better than expected — took 86% of games against 70% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
Changsong Shen / Haakon Sorensen
2026-03-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Michael Dillard
+0.043better than expected — took 67% of games against 46% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
Mario Kosmiskas
2026-01-30 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.050below expectation — took 56% of games against 68% expected
6-4, 1-6, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.