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Michael Lynagh

Edmonds, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
161 matches · 101W–60L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.46
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 17 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
70%
stay 3.5
30%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 92% stay · 8% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.39. Lower than today’s 3.46 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Edmonds · 3.5
2 of 16
WA · 3.5
150 of 1209

Michael is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Michael has been 3.5 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Michael has gone from the 75th to the 82nd percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
68.7%
57W–26L · 56.2% of games
7.0
68%
17W–8L · 56.5% of games
7.0mixed
58.6%
17W–12L · 56.4% of games
8.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history161 matches
L
2026-07-19 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Katherine Crews
+0.000below expectation — took 55% of games against 61% expected
2-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
2026-07-12 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Jody Okamura
+0.000below expectation — took 37% of games against 57% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Om Ravi / Krishna Addepalli
2026-05-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Joseph Gregory
+0.035better than expected — took 86% of games against 62% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
2026-05-10 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Max Genereaux
+0.026better than expected — took 63% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
Yao Yao / Rucheng Du
2026-05-02 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Joseph Gregory
+0.014better than expected — took 61% of games against 54% expected
6-1, 4-6, 1-0
W
2026-04-19 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Joseph Gregory
+0.001about as expected — took 57% of games against 56% expected
6-4, 7-6
W
Hector Acosta / Vinayak Maheshwari
2026-04-04 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Yuji Aizawa
−0.009about as expected — took 50% of games against 55% expected
7-5, 3-6, 1-0
L
2026-03-08 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Stan Steele
−0.007about as expected — took 44% of games against 47% expected
7-6, 7-5
W
Zhe Yang / Han Zhao
2026-02-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Scott Chapman
+0.010better than expected — took 75% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
Sen Saetern / Rong Qiang Xu
2026-01-24 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Joseph Gregory
−0.011about as expected — took 46% of games against 50% expected
7-6, 6-5
W
2026-01-17 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Yuji Aizawa
+0.005about as expected — took 57% of games against 54% expected
6-4, 7-6
W
Mike Cadelago / Jeff Au-Yeung
2026-01-04 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Scott Schlumberger
+0.013better than expected — took 75% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.