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Chris Fahey

Mercer Island, WA
4.5C year-end 2025
109 matches · 63W–46L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.94
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
79%
down to 4.0
21%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 53% down · 47% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.99. Higher than today’s 3.94 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Mercer Island · 4.5
14 of 17
WA · 4.5
302 of 364

Chris is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Chris has been 4.5 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

4.04.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Chris has gone from the 69th to the 74th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.5
58.1%
36W–26L · 53.4% of games
5.0
0W–3L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
53.3%
8W–7L · 48.7% of games
9.0mixed
2W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history109 matches
L
Raymond Lam
2026-06-07 · #2 Singles · 4.5
−0.069below expectation — took 38% of games against 65% expected
7-5, 6-3
L
John Gallelli / Marco del Rosario
2026-05-17 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jason Bloom
−0.041below expectation — took 37% of games against 56% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
Rahul M / David Li
2026-04-26 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Collin Hagstrom
+0.021better than expected — took 62% of games against 51% expected
6-2, 7-6
L
Charles Hodge / Zachary Chalettchamps
2026-03-29 · #2 Doubles · with Marco Wen
−0.051below expectation — took 38% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
N/A
2026-03-15 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Milt Reimers
−0.078about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-02-01 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Milt Reimers
+0.001about as expected — took 63% of games against 60% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2025-08-22 · #2 Doubles · with Robert Matthews
+0.043better than expected — took 75% of games against 52% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
Cory Moderhak / Kevin ODonnellchamps
2025-03-30 · #2 Doubles · with Kunal Walia
−0.003below expectation — took 33% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2025-03-15 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jason Bloom
−0.043below expectation — took 45% of games against 62% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2025-03-08 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jordan Corey
−0.024below expectation — took 25% of games against 41% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
Rohit Sharma / Will Blanchard
2025-02-15 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jason Bloom
−0.063below expectation — took 35% of games against 62% expected
7-6, 6-1
L
Clifford Flekser / Issei Komatsu
2025-02-02 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Collin Hagstrom
−0.033below expectation — took 29% of games against 47% expected
6-1, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.