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Caroline Ingalls

Seattle, WA
3.0A year-end 2025
14 matches · 6W–8L · seasons 20252026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
i
The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
2.73
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 10 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
100%
stay 3.0
0%
up to 3.5

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Seattle · 3.0
339 of 448
WA · 3.0
1337 of 1704
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
i
Caroline is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Caroline has been a steady 3.0 across all 2 seasons on record.

2.53.020252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2025 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level1 levels played
3.0
42.9%
6W–8L · 45.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history14 matches
W
2026-07-30 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kelsey Sturman
+0.021better than expected — took 59% of games against 49% expected
6-2, 6-7, 1-0
W
2026-07-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kelsey Sturman
0.012below expectation — took 47% of games against 54% expected
6-4, 2-6, 1-0
L
2026-07-13 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Angela Lewis
0.012below expectation — took 25% of games against 37% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-07-07 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Angela Lewis
+0.008below expectation — took 25% of games against 30% expected
6-4, 6-0
W
Elise Harper / Kelly Yukevich
2026-05-31 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Joycelyn Su
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Jenjira Hellers / Kavita Avula
2026-05-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kelsey Sturman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-6
L
Haley Nuckles / Sara Mcmorrow
2026-05-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kelsey Sturman
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
2-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
2026-05-03 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kelsey Sturman
0.029below expectation — took 32% of games against 47% expected
6-0, 7-6
W
Chris Vyvyan-robinson / Leilani Caldwell
2026-02-28 · #2 Mixed Doubles · 3.0 · with Peter Stewart
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0
W
Jyothi Venugopal / Qian Yang
2026-01-24 · #1 Female Doubles · 3.0 · with Angela Lewis
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3
L
2025-05-24 · #2 Singles · 3.0
0.072below expectation — took 25% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Serin Lee / Lisa Adamek
2025-05-18 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sarah Smith
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-1
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