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Cara Winter

Seattle, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
54 matches · 27W–27L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.00
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 22 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
50%
stay 3.0
50%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 85% stay · 15% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.92. Lower than today’s 3.00 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.0
97 of 397
WA · 3.0
360 of 1529

Cara is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Cara has been a steady 3.0 across all 2 seasons on record.

2.53.020252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Cara has gone from the 30th to the 56th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
62.1%
18W–11L · 52.4% of games
3.5
66.7%
4W–2L · 54.5% of games
6.0
25%
1W–3L · 40.5% of games
6.0mixed
18.2%
2W–9L · 40.6% of games
7.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history54 matches
W
2026-07-26 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Heather Michail
+0.016better than expected — took 57% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 6-7, 1-0
W
Angela Lewis / Caroline Ingalls
2026-07-13 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Heather Michail
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-06-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Heather Michail
0.034below expectation — took 63% of games against 71% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
2026-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Heather Michail
+0.018better than expected — took 71% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2026-06-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Heather Michail
+0.003about as expected — took 44% of games against 46% expected
1-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Zeran Wang / Yuchen Zhang
2026-06-07 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Brittney Davis
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 6-4
W
2026-06-05 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.002about as expected — took 57% of games against 55% expected
6-3, 6-7, 1-0
W
2026-05-20 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.015below expectation — took 53% of games against 59% expected
6-7, 4-2
L
2026-05-14 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.009about as expected — took 45% of games against 49% expected
6-3, 5-6
L
2026-05-12 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.046better than expected — took 59% of games against 37% expected
0-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Angel Fettig
2026-05-10 · #1 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-05-03 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Heather Michail
0.007about as expected — took 50% of games against 52% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.