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Samuel McIlvain

Henderson, NV
3.5C year-end 2025
162 matches · 77W–85L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.38
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 5 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
94%
stay 3.5
6%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 99% stay · 1% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.33. Lower than today’s 3.38 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Henderson · 3.5
15 of 73
NV · 3.5
68 of 228

Samuel is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Samuel has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 8 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Samuel has gone from the 92nd to the 69th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level10 levels played
3.0
1W–0L
not enough matches yet
3.5
53.8%
43W–37L · 53% of games
4.0
38.5%
15W–24L · 48.7% of games
4.5
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
40%
2W–3L · 50.5% of games
6.5mixed
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
20%
1W–4L · 34.7% of games
7.5mixed
3W–0L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
28.6%
2W–5L · 42.1% of games
8.5mixed
0W–2L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history162 matches
L
Blake Kelly / Mercedes Renteria IVchamps
2026-06-15 · #2 Doubles · with Curtis Saludes
−0.006below expectation — took 32% of games against 38% expected
7-5, 6-1
W
N/A
2026-06-06 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Christopher Tran
−0.029better than expected — took 100% of games against 94% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Michael Ivy / Brad Evans
2026-04-11 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with John McCann
−0.041below expectation — took 29% of games against 51% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
James Hill / Robert Carlson
2026-03-28 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Patrick Phero
−0.001about as expected — took 48% of games against 50% expected
7-6, 3-6, 1-0
L
Enhua Chen / Qing Guo
2026-03-21 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Oskar Dagys
−0.032below expectation — took 38% of games against 53% expected
6-3, 7-5
W
Michael Lundstedt / Dax Lundstedtchamps
2025-11-15 · #3 Doubles · with Jeremie Moll
+0.093better than expected — took 100% of games against 50% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
Michael Holcomb / Russell Terao
2025-08-23 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Gerardo Perez
−0.009about as expected — took 59% of games against 61% expected
6-4, 7-5
L
Ronan Heaneychamps
2025-08-09 · #1 Singles
−0.039below expectation — took 25% of games against 46% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Zach Barker / Dan Camposchamps
2025-08-08 · #2 Doubles · with Nick Snow
−0.033below expectation — took 56% of games against 67% expected
7-5, 7-6
L
Daniel Inouye / Jesse Mangumchamps
2025-08-08 · #1 Doubles · with Abraham Taylor
−0.021below expectation — took 29% of games against 42% expected
6-1, 6-4
L
Mercedes Renteria IV / Joseph Gong
2025-07-29 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jeremie Moll
−0.021below expectation — took 43% of games against 53% expected
6-4, 7-6
W
2025-07-19 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Gerardo Perez
−0.033below expectation — took 57% of games against 67% expected
7-6, 6-4
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