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Victor Cao

Newcastle, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
128 matches · 62W–66L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.11
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 10 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
9%
stay 3.0
91%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 52% stay · 48% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.00. Lower than today’s 3.11 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 3.0
98 of 755

Victor is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Victor has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 8 seasons — 2 moves up and 1 down.

2.53.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 7.0, Victor has gone from the 35th to the 4th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2025.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.0
92.9%
13W–1L · 66.4% of games
3.5
38.8%
19W–30L · 45.6% of games
6.0
81.8%
9W–2L · 59.1% of games
7.0
30.8%
12W–27L · 46.6% of games
6.0mixed
60%
6W–4L · 60.1% of games
7.0mixed
60%
3W–2L · 51.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history128 matches
W
Patrick Garland / Teresa Engravmixed
2026-07-25 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with MARILYN PORTER
+0.000better than expected — took 71% of games against 57% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2026-06-21 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with MARILYN PORTER
+0.000better than expected — took 92% of games against 61% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
2026-02-28 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Stan Nakano
−0.037below expectation — took 25% of games against 45% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
Juan Vegarra / Andres Villaveces
2026-01-31 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Stan Nakano
−0.020below expectation — took 25% of games against 39% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
2026-01-24 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Bong SantoDomingo
−0.002about as expected — took 44% of games against 45% expected
7-5, 7-6
W
Spencer Dillard / Ben Perkowski
2026-01-18 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Fei Cheng
+0.026better than expected — took 55% of games against 44% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2025-11-01 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Stan Nakano
−0.031below expectation — took 53% of games against 62% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2025-10-25 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Mark Blaisdell
+0.024better than expected — took 50% of games against 39% expected
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
L
Bryan Heathman / Raghunandan Allepally
2025-09-27 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Greg Goodwin
−0.043below expectation — took 14% of games against 40% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
N/A
2025-09-20 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Steven Lockett
+0.068better than expected — took 100% of games against 60% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2025-02-02 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jewon Kim
+0.015better than expected — took 52% of games against 44% expected
2-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
Paul Carow / Andy Rottler
2025-01-26 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Bong SantoDomingo
+0.004about as expected — took 41% of games against 41% expected
6-3, 7-6
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.