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Aaron Miller

Shoreline, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
191 matches · 132W–59L · seasons 2020–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.92
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 29 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
83%
stay 4.0
17%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 96% stay · 4% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.86. Lower than today’s 3.92 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Shoreline · 4.0
2 of 14
WA · 4.0
41 of 782

Aaron is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Aaron has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.02020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Aaron has gone from the 72nd to the 85th percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
3.5
50%
6W–6L · 53.5% of games
4.0
73.1%
57W–21L · 58.5% of games
4.5
57.1%
8W–6L · 53% of games
7.0mixed
87.5%
7W–1L · 61% of games
8.0mixed
76.2%
32W–10L · 62.9% of games
9.0mixed
33.3%
2W–4L · 50.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history191 matches
L
Rodrigo Castano / Jonathan Ip
2026-07-22 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Tam Ly
−0.002about as expected — took 40% of games against 42% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
Scott Combs / Katherine Van Ewykmixed
2026-07-19 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Emily Barrett
+0.000below expectation — took 45% of games against 66% expected
4-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-07-18 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Emily Barrett
+0.000better than expected — took 75% of games against 59% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
David Lam / Craig Collins
2026-07-08 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Thomas Chippendale
−0.004about as expected — took 55% of games against 56% expected
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-06-20 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Emily Barrett
+0.000about as expected — took 71% of games against 70% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
Felix Schuler / Jacob Mannchamps
2026-06-13 · #2 Doubles · with Kevin Jacobson
+0.016better than expected — took 60% of games against 52% expected
6-4, 6-4
L
Shaurya Bairaria / Song Ko
2026-06-06 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Colin Kho
−0.009about as expected — took 47% of games against 51% expected
6-3, 3-6, 1-0
W
Brant Lyerla / Carl Ng
2026-05-31 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Thomas Lachenmaier
−0.037below expectation — took 55% of games against 67% expected
5-7, 6-3, 1-0
L
2026-05-24 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Tyler Gardner
+0.019about as expected — took 33% of games against 31% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
Alex Chen / Kevin Tsay
2026-05-23 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Tyler Gardner
+0.060better than expected — took 86% of games against 53% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
Harsha Gotur / Beagan Nguy
2026-05-22 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Tyler Gardner
−0.009better than expected — took 92% of games against 81% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
Jonathan Ip / Tue Khuc
2026-05-08 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Tyler Gardner
−0.000about as expected — took 48% of games against 47% expected
6-4, 5-7, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.