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Aaron Thomas

Mercer Island, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
110 matches · 65W–45L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.62
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 13 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
6%
down to 3.5
94%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the lower half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Mercer Island · 4.0
32 of 45
WA · 4.0
515 of 782

Aaron is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Aaron has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 7 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.02019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Aaron has gone from the 51st to the 20th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
75.7%
28W–9L · 60.1% of games
4.0
45.1%
23W–28L · 49.2% of games
6.0mixed
66.7%
6W–3L · 59.1% of games
7.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history110 matches
L
David Park / Kenneth Cho
2026-06-07 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with E Lloyd Hounsell
0.011below expectation — took 38% of games against 44% expected
6-0, 3-6, 1-0
L
2026-05-30 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Mien Chi Chen
0.009below expectation — took 14% of games against 30% expected
6-0, 6-2
L
2026-05-17 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with E Lloyd Hounsell
0.038below expectation — took 25% of games against 46% expected
6-0, 6-4
W
Anant Jaitha / Charles Zhang
2026-05-08 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Grover Holtzclaw
0.009about as expected — took 59% of games against 61% expected
6-4, 7-5
W
2026-04-26 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with E Lloyd Hounsell
+0.046better than expected — took 67% of games against 44% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-04-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Grover Holtzclaw
+0.002below expectation — took 29% of games against 35% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
Tom Pierson / Geoff Harrison
2026-02-22 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Grant Pomering
0.039below expectation — took 29% of games against 50% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
Fred Wurden / Kent Lundgren
2026-02-15 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Andrew Parcel
+0.020better than expected — took 71% of games against 58% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2026-01-30 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Grant Pomering
0.023below expectation — took 20% of games against 37% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
Ramin Achak / Len Henzke
2026-01-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Chris Pavlin
+0.017better than expected — took 47% of games against 40% expected
1-6, 6-1, 1-0
L
2026-01-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Chris Pavlin
0.006about as expected — took 41% of games against 45% expected
6-2, 6-7, 1-0
W
2026-01-10 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Chris Pavlin
+0.024better than expected — took 62% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 7-5
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.