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John Carlson

Anchorage, AK
4.0C year-end 2024
172 matches · 132W–40L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.76
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 21 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
100%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Anchorage · 4.0
5 of 15
AK · 4.0
6 of 16

John is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

John has been 4.0 for all 5 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.54.020202021202320242026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, John has gone from the 97th to the 88th percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2024.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level8 levels played
0.0
68.8%
11W–5L · 54.3% of games
3.5
100%
4W–0L · 70.6% of games
4.0
80%
12W–3L · 64.5% of games
4.5
85.7%
6W–1L · 59% of games
7.5
87%
20W–3L · 65.6% of games
6.0mixed
75%
3W–1L · 65.6% of games
7.0mixed
94.1%
32W–2L · 72.1% of games
8.0mixed
70.5%
31W–13L · 60.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history172 matches
L
2026-07-11 · #3 Doubles · with Kathy McArthur
+0.000about as expected — took 43% of games against 42% expected
7-6, 6-4
W
2026-07-11 · #2 Doubles · with Kathy McArthur
+0.000about as expected — took 63% of games against 65% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
Connie Elim / Bofan Hsumixedchamps
2026-07-10 · #3 Doubles · with Kathy McArthur
+0.000about as expected — took 37% of games against 39% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Allen Clendaniel / Levi Patterson
2026-05-16 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Noah Whitney
+0.047better than expected — took 58% of games against 39% expected
4-6, 6-2, 1-0
W
2026-05-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Arne Krogh
+0.011better than expected — took 75% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-3
L
2026-04-11 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Mitchell Roth
−0.035below expectation — took 35% of games against 52% expected
7-6, 6-1
W
N/Amixed
2026-03-01 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Angelina Salvato
+0.000about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-02-28 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Julie Raymond-Yakoubian
+0.000better than expected — took 71% of games against 61% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
2026-02-13 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Walaiporn Sukanthanag
+0.000better than expected — took 37% of games against 32% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Sinclair Jackson / Zareena Clendanielmixed
2026-02-01 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Angelina Salvato
+0.000about as expected — took 62% of games against 66% expected
7-6, 6-2
W
2026-02-01 · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Linda Westwick
+0.000better than expected — took 75% of games against 58% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
2026-01-31 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Cecilia Hopper
+0.000below expectation — took 45% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.