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Aris Rosario

University Place, WA
4.0C year-end 2025
157 matches · 84W–73L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.92
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 28 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.5
85%
stay 4.0
15%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 96% stay · 4% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.86. Lower than today’s 3.92 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
WA · 4.0
42 of 782

Aris is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Aris has been 4.0 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

3.54.02020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Aris has gone from the 4th to the 89th percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
4.0
61.1%
33W–21L · 52.5% of games
4.5
28.1%
9W–23L · 41.9% of games
7.0mixed
80%
32W–8L · 57.2% of games
8.0mixed
31.8%
7W–15L · 45.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history157 matches
W
Matthew Harris / Matthew Sheets
2026-07-11 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Oliver Vicente
+0.038better than expected — took 68% of games against 49% expected
7-5, 6-1
W
Morgann Crook / Marco Esquivelmixed
2026-07-11 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Deborah Krishnadasan
+0.000below expectation — took 52% of games against 61% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
N/A
2026-07-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Oliver Vicente
−0.064about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
Nick Jarvis / Jonathan Chow
2026-06-14 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jaime Chaves
−0.028below expectation — took 25% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Nate Hartman / Katrina Spademixed
2026-06-13 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Nadine Johnson Rice
+0.000below expectation — took 58% of games against 68% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
2026-06-12 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Deborah Krishnadasan
+0.000about as expected — took 71% of games against 67% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
Jimmy Do / Joshua Do
2026-06-07 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Brendan Manuel Nadayag
+0.049better than expected — took 53% of games against 33% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
Nicholas Kaloudis / Eric Metzger
2026-05-30 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jaime Chaves
−0.003below expectation — took 29% of games against 36% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2026-04-19 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Oliver Vicente
−0.014about as expected — took 50% of games against 55% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
Johan An / Anthony Caruso
2026-04-18 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Oliver Vicente
+0.043better than expected — took 80% of games against 56% expected
6-0, 6-3
L
Merlin Ly / Blue Barron
2026-04-10 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Vichet Hoy
+0.027better than expected — took 55% of games against 42% expected
1-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
Will Blanchard / David White
2026-03-15 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Craig Robertson
+0.022better than expected — took 60% of games against 49% expected
6-1, 5-7, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.