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Justin Pae

Mercer Island, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
107 matches · 70W–37L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.34
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 18 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
98%
stay 3.5
2%
up to 4.0

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Mercer Island · 3.5
37 of 63
WA · 3.5
444 of 1209

Justin is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Justin has been 3.5 for all 6 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.5202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Justin has gone from the 53rd to the 69th percentile of players at that level, 2021 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
68.7%
46W–21L · 56.5% of games
4.0
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
50%
2W–2L · 42.7% of games
7.0mixed
57.1%
16W–12L · 52.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history107 matches
L
Matt Topping / Maileen Walzmixed
2026-07-12 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Christina Hua
+0.000below expectation — took 37% of games against 64% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
Juan Vegarra / Axel Andrewschamps
2026-06-13 · #3 Doubles · with Ravi Bhangare
+0.004about as expected — took 47% of games against 47% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Ty Ugaddan / Matthew Zlateff
2026-06-06 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Marc Chatalas
0.013about as expected — took 56% of games against 61% expected
6-1, 2-6, 1-0
W
Thomas Stanley / Bruce Killeen
2026-05-31 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Marc Chatalas
+0.032better than expected — took 86% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
2026-05-17 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Hector Acosta
+0.012about as expected — took 50% of games against 46% expected
7-5, 3-6, 1-0
W
Alex Tan / Raghu Havaldar
2026-05-08 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Bo Ford
0.013below expectation — took 47% of games against 55% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-05-08 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jay Shleifer
+0.003about as expected — took 59% of games against 57% expected
7-6, 6-3
L
John Maciejewski / Benjamin Matt
2026-05-02 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jay Lee
+0.008about as expected — took 33% of games against 35% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
Joe Farah
2026-05-01 · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.058better than expected — took 86% of games against 54% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
Julian Weber / Uchenna Nwanyanwu
2026-04-25 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jay Shleifer
+0.016better than expected — took 57% of games against 49% expected
7-6, 6-4
L
Yao Yao / Rucheng Du
2026-04-19 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Taylor Graham
0.061below expectation — took 14% of games against 48% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
Chris Chau / Matthew Villiott
2026-04-04 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Mien Chi Chen
0.041below expectation — took 25% of games against 47% expected
6-3, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.