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Jason Buchanan

Mercer Island, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
217 matches · 146W–71L · seasons 20222026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.32
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 35 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
99%
stay 3.5
1%
up to 4.0

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Mercer Island · 3.5
40 of 63
WA · 3.5
509 of 1209

Jason is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jason has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 5 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.520222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Jason has gone from the 54th to the 43rd percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level7 levels played
2.5
92.3%
12W–1L · 68% of games
3.0
73.5%
25W–9L · 55.6% of games
3.5
59%
36W–25L · 53% of games
4.0
11.1%
1W–8L · 42.3% of games
6.0mixed
80%
20W–5L · 62.9% of games
7.0mixed
80.8%
21W–5L · 59.4% of games
8.0mixed
50%
2W–2L · 57.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history217 matches
L
Jack Kelly / Axel Andrews
2026-07-26 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kevin Boller
0.053below expectation — took 25% of games against 52% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
Jolanta Grigsby / Kevin McCarthymixed
2026-07-25 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Min Park
+0.000about as expected — took 48% of games against 48% expected
3-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
Khyatee Boroowa / Alan Pugh
2026-07-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Charles Kern
0.015below expectation — took 25% of games against 37% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
Mary Chi / Lawrence Chiumixed
2026-07-18 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Karen Ng
+0.000better than expected — took 65% of games against 42% expected
6-2, 7-5
W
Cheryl Wate / SERGIO VICTORIOmixed
2026-07-11 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Karen Ng
+0.000better than expected — took 80% of games against 56% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
2026-06-27 · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Susannah Thompson
+0.000better than expected — took 57% of games against 51% expected
1-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
Amy Allen / Vivek Sharmamixed
2026-06-20 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Min Park
+0.000about as expected — took 62% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 7-5
L
Rohit Sharma / Racquel Johnsonmixed
2026-06-14 · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Connie Min
+0.000below expectation — took 25% of games against 34% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
JON COOMBES / Jay Leechamps
2026-06-13 · #1 Doubles · with Ryan Nghi
0.010below expectation — took 41% of games against 46% expected
6-3, 7-6
W
Peter Claassen / Scott Lennard
2026-05-09 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Ryan Nghi
+0.011better than expected — took 75% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
Matthew Nguyen
2026-05-03 · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.038better than expected — took 65% of games against 47% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
2026-04-25 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.031below expectation — took 33% of games against 49% expected
6-4, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.