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Carlos Posas

Eugene, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
23 matches · 10W–13L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.01
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 7 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
47%
stay 3.0
53%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 84% stay · 16% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.92. Lower than today’s 3.01 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Eugene · 3.0
4 of 21
OR · 3.0
135 of 820
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Carlos is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Carlos has been 3.0 for all 4 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

2.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2023 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Carlos has gone from the 92nd to the 88th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level1 levels played
3.0
58.8%
10W–7L · 57.2% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history23 matches
W
2026-08-01 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Henry Weathers
+0.005about as expected — took 58% of games against 55% expected
7-5, 7-5
W
2026-07-31 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Christopher Glesmann
+0.011better than expected — took 67% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2026-07-31 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Henry Weathers
0.033below expectation — took 25% of games against 44% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
N/A
2026-05-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Michael Guo
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
Wynn Cudmore / Keith Goldstein
2026-05-03 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jesse Aguero
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 7-5
W
Wynn Cudmore / Keith Goldstein
2026-03-28 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with John Aarons
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-4
W
Ryan Kelling / Samuel Young
2026-03-15 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Michael Guo
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-0
L
2025-08-09 · #1 Doubles · with Jesse Aguero
+0.023better than expected — took 41% of games against 35% expected
7-6, 6-3
L
Scott Monson / Peyton Monsonchamps
2025-08-09 · #2 Doubles · with Charles Cline
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-7, 6-2, 1-0
L
2025-08-08 · #2 Doubles · with Jesse Aguero
+0.011about as expected — took 38% of games against 37% expected
6-2, 7-6
W
Kurt Franssen / Phillip Littleton
2025-06-07 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Henry Weathers
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-2
W
2025-05-18 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Christopher Glesmann
+0.023better than expected — took 57% of games against 46% expected
6-4, 7-6
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