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Julia Roast

Bothell, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
92 matches · 58W–34L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.15
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 29 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
3%
stay 3.0
97%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 34% stay · 66% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.03. Lower than today’s 3.15 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Bothell · 3.0
3 of 21
WA · 3.0
61 of 1107

Julia is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Julia has played at 2.5, 3.0 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.02.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2023 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Julia has gone from the 2nd to the 93rd percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
2.5
88.9%
16W–2L · 63.5% of games
3.0
57.1%
28W–21L · 52.7% of games
3.5
2W–0L
not enough matches yet
0.0mixed
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
3.0mixed
3W–0L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
46.2%
6W–7L · 53.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history92 matches
W
Xiaozhen Liu / Jiayi Lin
2026-07-31 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elise Zabel
0.009about as expected — took 75% of games against 70% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
Stacey Kryman / Gary Gouldmixed
2026-07-25 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Mohinder Singh Atwal
+0.000better than expected — took 92% of games against 68% expected
6-0, 6-1
W
Yunda Huang / Qiong Wei
2026-07-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elise Zabel
+0.026better than expected — took 80% of games against 62% expected
6-3, 6-0
W
Lynsey Liu / Saung Mundt
2026-07-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elise Zabel
0.011below expectation — took 52% of games against 57% expected
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
2026-07-12 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elise Zabel
+0.012better than expected — took 75% of games against 63% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-07-08 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elise Zabel
+0.015better than expected — took 68% of games against 59% expected
7-5, 6-1
W
2026-06-30 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elise Zabel
+0.050better than expected — took 92% of games against 61% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
Christina Vanburen / Kirk Myersmixed
2026-06-27 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Joseph Lam
+0.000about as expected — took 48% of games against 53% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Senthil Kumar Muthu / Donna Kimmixed
2026-06-21 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Zhe Yang
+0.000better than expected — took 63% of games against 45% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
Katie Davis / Chris Pratleymixed
2026-06-12 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Michael Guthmann
+0.000below expectation — took 43% of games against 53% expected
7-6, 6-4
W
Amanda Ortiz / Alice Kim
2026-06-07 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elise Zabel
+0.040better than expected — took 80% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
Sallie Ragsdale / Molly Schmidt
2026-04-25 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Meghan Bradner
+0.019better than expected — took 67% of games against 56% expected
6-3, 6-3
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