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Carl Toews

Tacoma, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
65 matches · 29W–36L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.39
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 28 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
92%
stay 3.5
8%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 98% stay · 2% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.33. Lower than today’s 3.39 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Tacoma · 3.5
14 of 81
WA · 3.5
308 of 1624

Carl is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Carl has been 3.5 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Carl has gone from the 11th to the 90th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
3.5
46.8%
22W–25L · 52.4% of games
4.0
18.2%
2W–9L · 41.8% of games
6.0mixed
100%
5W–0L · 69% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history65 matches
L
2026-07-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Nicholas Toglia
0.042below expectation — took 33% of games against 54% expected
6-3, 6-3
W
2026-06-21 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Nicholas Toglia
0.015about as expected — took 58% of games against 62% expected
7-5, 7-5
L
2026-06-13 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Nicholas Toglia
+0.039better than expected — took 57% of games against 39% expected
7-6, 1-6, 1-0
W
David Smith / Nathan Englund
2026-06-09 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Nicholas Toglia
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-05-03 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.038better than expected — took 100% of games against 69% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-05-02 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.013below expectation — took 41% of games against 48% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
Kyle Bowman / Frankie Edwards
2026-04-26 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Travis Westfall
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
3-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
2026-04-19 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Kyle Roberts
0.008about as expected — took 71% of games against 67% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
2026-04-18 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.056below expectation — took 33% of games against 59% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-03-22 · #2 Doubles · with Oliver Alcantara
0.010about as expected — took 53% of games against 55% expected
2-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-03-21 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.030better than expected — took 100% of games against 72% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-03-09 · #1 Singles · 3.5
0.010about as expected — took 48% of games against 51% expected
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.