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Shay Nothman

Chicago, IL
3.5C year-end 2025
68 matches · 53W–15L · seasons 2024–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
3.54
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 28 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
30%
stay 3.5
70%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 74% stay · 26% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.45. Lower than today’s 3.54 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
i
scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Chicago · 3.5
15 of 64
IL · 3.5
34 of 327
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Shay is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Shay has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 3 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.5202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Shay has gone from the 96th to the 97th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
75%
18W–6L · 61.4% of games
3.5
83.8%
31W–6L · 68.3% of games
4.0
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.5
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
1W–0L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history68 matches
W
Cheryl Ingram / Julie Schwanchamps
2026-08-01 · #2 Doubles · with Janet Hanks
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-3
L
2026-08-01 · #2 Doubles · with Jean Sawin
−0.024below expectation — took 53% of games against 60% expected
6-4, 2-6, 1-0
W
2026-07-20 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Lyndsay Cavanagh
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 4-5
W
Maria Unwala / Katie Sullivan
2026-07-13 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sun Lee
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-1, 6-2
L
Julia Happel / Vicki Johnson
2026-06-28 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jaye Schreier
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 5-4
W
Karyn Michalik / Jessica Fu
2026-06-26 · #1 Doubles · 7.5 · with Laura Purcell
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-2
L
2026-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 7.5 · with Maura Starshak
−0.000about as expected — took 44% of games against 44% expected
3-6, 5-1, 1-0
W
Lauren Carr / Cheryl Soco
2026-06-14 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Jean Sawin
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
Carol Swanson / Megan Crisham
2026-06-13 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Ashley Dempsey
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-0, 6-0
W
Donna Myers / Naomi Katz
2026-06-05 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Sherry Polachek
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 5-2
W
Mitchell Weinstein / Elisa Zusmanmixed
2026-06-01 · #3 Doubles · 7.0 · with Brian Atad
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 7-5
W
Irene Okada / Julie Gordon
2026-05-30 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Anne Gallagher
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 6-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.