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Melissa Lanceta

Portland, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
42 matches · 15W–27L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.83
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 17 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
98%
stay 3.0
2%
up to 3.5

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the upper half of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
202 of 426
OR · 3.0
363 of 746

Melissa is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Melissa has been 3.0 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

2.53.0202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Melissa has gone from the 2nd to the 47th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
3.0
36.7%
11W–19L · 43.9% of games
6.0mixed
33.3%
4W–8L · 45.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history42 matches
L
2026-07-26 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Todd Shupp
+0.000about as expected — took 43% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 5-7, 1-0
W
Shannon Wagner / Daniel Ellismixed
2026-07-25 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Todd Shupp
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-4, 6-1
W
Van Chinh Bui / Ben Cavalcantimixed
2026-07-18 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Calvin Hsieh
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 6-2
L
Yuki Endo / Satoshi Endomixed
2026-07-11 · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with David Stormo
mixed — doesn't count toward your NTRP rating
6-3, 7-5
W
2026-06-28 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Maribel Bautista Tena
+0.011about as expected — took 52% of games against 48% expected
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
W
2026-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Lauren Kinderknecht
+0.012better than expected — took 75% of games against 63% expected
6-0, 6-4
W
Delena Palena / Claudia Belindean
2026-06-13 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Lindsay Jenkins
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-04-25 · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Sheena Alingas
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-6, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-04-18 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Lindsay Jenkins
+0.035better than expected — took 48% of games against 34% expected
6-4, 4-6, 1-0
W
2026-03-14 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.046better than expected — took 67% of games against 44% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-01-31 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.028about as expected — took 33% of games against 29% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
Sumi Kim / Amy Pickens
2026-01-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Elizabeth Hayes
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.