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Lauren Kinderknecht

Portland, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
29 matches · 14W–15L · seasons 20242026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.05
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 13 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
27%
stay 3.0
73%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 71% stay · 29% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.95. Lower than today’s 3.05 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
60 of 426
OR · 3.0
101 of 746

Lauren is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Lauren has been 3.0 for all 3 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.53.0202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Lauren has gone from the 13th to the 89th percentile of players at that level, 2025 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level1 levels played
3.0
48.3%
14W–15L · 51.4% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history29 matches
W
2026-07-20 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Maribel Bautista Tena
+0.041better than expected — took 75% of games against 53% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
2026-07-19 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Lindsay Jenkins
+0.001better than expected — took 75% of games against 67% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
2026-06-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Melissa Lanceta
+0.012better than expected — took 75% of games against 63% expected
6-0, 6-4
L
Melissa Harder
2026-06-07 · #2 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-3, 4-6, 1-0
W
2026-05-23 · #2 Singles · 3.0
+0.031better than expected — took 75% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
2026-05-16 · #2 Singles · 3.0
+0.080better than expected — took 92% of games against 50% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
2026-04-25 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.079better than expected — took 80% of games against 41% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
2026-04-18 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Gwen Kulak
+0.002about as expected — took 33% of games against 37% expected
6-4, 6-2
W
Emma Chait
2026-03-29 · #2 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-4, 6-1
L
Amy Liu
2026-02-22 · #1 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-6
L
2026-02-06 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.014about as expected — took 37% of games against 35% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2026-01-23 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.001better than expected — took 75% of games against 67% expected
6-2, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.