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Shanti Thapa

Ferndale, WA
0.0 year-end
24 matches · 22W–2L · seasons 20252026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.56
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 20 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
22%
stay 3.5
78%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 67% stay · 33% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.46. Lower than today’s 3.56 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
0.0
100%
6W–0L · 76.6% of games
3.5
91.7%
11W–1L · 70% of games
7.0mixed
80%
4W–1L · 57.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history24 matches
W
2026-07-29 · #1 Female Singles · 0.0
0.028below expectation — took 60% of games against 68% expected
6-4
W
2026-07-21 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Ale Jimenez
+0.027better than expected — took 92% of games against 69% expected
6-1, 6-0
W
2026-07-08 · #1 Female Singles · 0.0
+0.002about as expected — took 67% of games against 62% expected
6-3
W
2026-06-12 · #1 Singles
+0.006about as expected — took 53% of games against 51% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
W
2026-05-31 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Alina Stanciu
0.019about as expected — took 67% of games against 69% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
2026-05-22 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.008better than expected — took 75% of games against 65% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
2026-05-09 · #2 Singles · 3.5
0.008about as expected — took 52% of games against 56% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-05-02 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.026better than expected — took 75% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
Viktoria Zlatinova
2026-04-26 · #1 Singles · 3.5
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5, 6-1
W
2026-04-12 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.005better than expected — took 71% of games against 63% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
2026-03-08 · #1 Female Singles · 3.5
+0.021better than expected — took 86% of games against 67% expected
6-1
W
2026-02-28 · #1 Female Doubles · 3.5 · with Kelsey Duncombe-Smith
+0.006better than expected — took 75% of games against 65% expected
6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.