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Sarah Carnaroli

Portland, OR
3.0S year-end 2025
8 matches · 2W–6L · seasons 20262026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh
Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely.
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The dashed lines are the edges of your band. The three shaded areas are exactly the three percentages below — area here is the chance of one outcome for you, not a count of players.
2.71
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 8 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
100%
stay 3.0
0%
up to 3.5

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the middle of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure.
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scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model. USTA publishes year-end ratings in December, which is when this gets graded against what actually happened.
Where you rank
Portland · 3.0
335 of 446
OR · 3.0
609 of 820
By our estimated rating, not the published level.
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Sarah is ranked against players at the same level in the same place. The published level is identical for everyone in a band, so it cannot separate them — our estimate can. Groups smaller than five are not ranked at all, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
How you rank at your level

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level2 levels played
0.0
1W–2L
not enough matches yet
3.0
20%
1W–4L · 30.3% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history8 matches
W
2026-07-31 · #1 Female Doubles · 0.0 · with Yvette Alatorre
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
8-1
L
2026-07-29 · #1 Female Doubles · 0.0 · with Xiaobo Dai
0.009about as expected — took 50% of games against 53% expected
5-5
L
Antoinette Johnson / Sandi Mata
2026-07-28 · #1 Female Doubles · 0.0 · with Yvette Alatorre
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
7-5
L
2026-04-12 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.034below expectation — took 8% of games against 33% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
2026-03-16 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.039below expectation — took 20% of games against 43% expected
6-1, 6-2
L
2026-03-07 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.005below expectation — took 20% of games against 32% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
2026-02-27 · #1 Singles · 3.0
+0.058better than expected — took 59% of games against 36% expected
7-5, 6-4
L
Heidi Funke
2026-02-22 · #1 Singles · 3.0
expectation pending — we're still fetching an opponent's record
6-2, 2-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.