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Dave Sato

Beaverton, OR
3.0C year-end 2025
149 matches · 40W–109L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.52
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 15 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
41%
down to 2.5
59%
stay 3.0
0%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 24% down · 76% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.56. Higher than today’s 2.52 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Beaverton · 3.0
46 of 47
OR · 3.0
586 of 600

Dave is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams93 teams · 2004–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Dave has been 3.0 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

2.53.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Dave has gone from the 31st to the 11th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
37.9%
22W–36L · 45.7% of games
3.5
0W–2L
not enough matches yet
6.0
39.1%
9W–14L · 43.9% of games
7.0
9.1%
1W–10L · 31.8% of games
6.0mixed
14%
7W–43L · 34.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history149 matches
L
2026-07-25 · SAC-Hummel · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Natasha Brady
+0.000about as expected — took 29% of games against 33% expected
6-1, 6-4
L
2026-07-17 · SAC-Hummel · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Natasha Brady
+0.000about as expected — took 29% of games against 26% expected
6-2, 6-3
L
2026-07-11 · SAC-Hummel · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Lisa McConachie
+0.000below expectation — took 20% of games against 36% expected
6-2, 6-1
L
Robert More / Gena Martinezmixed
2026-05-17 · SAC-Hummel/McConachie · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Diana Crawford
+0.000about as expected — took 33% of games against 36% expected
6-2, 6-4
L
2026-05-09 · SAC-Hummel/McConachie · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Natasha Brady
+0.000below expectation — took 14% of games against 31% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
2026-05-03 · SAC-Henkhaus · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Jonathan Chun
+0.006better than expected — took 75% of games against 65% expected
6-3, 6-1
L
Tony D. Wang / June Xiaomixed
2026-05-01 · SAC-Hummel/McConachie · #2 Doubles · 6.0 · with Natasha Brady
+0.000below expectation — took 0% of games against 36% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-04-18 · SAC-Henkhaus · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Rodney Johnson
0.014below expectation — took 29% of games against 40% expected
6-1, 6-4
L
2026-03-21 · SAC-Elmer/Harvey · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Nathan Watson
0.027below expectation — took 35% of games against 49% expected
6-0, 4-6, 1-0
L
2026-03-14 · SAC-Elmer/Harvey · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Mauro Kobrinsky
0.012below expectation — took 43% of games against 49% expected
6-4, 7-6
W
Timothy Lynott / Pat Moore
2026-02-28 · SAC-Elmer/Harvey · #3 Doubles · 3.0 · with Rodney Johnson
+0.010about as expected — took 54% of games against 50% expected
7-5, 6-7, 1-0
L
2026-01-30 · SAC-Elmer/Harvey · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Craig Walker
+0.006below expectation — took 8% of games against 20% expected
6-0, 6-1
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.