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Jack Carlson

Beaverton, OR
4.0C year-end 2025
83 matches · 33W–50L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.40
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 12 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
89%
down to 3.5
11%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 64% down · 36% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.47. Higher than today’s 3.40 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Beaverton · 4.0
40 of 42
OR · 4.0
489 of 498

Jack is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams55 teams · 2008–2026
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jack has been 4.0 for all 8 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the top.

3.54.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2021 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Jack has gone from the 28th to the 9th percentile of players at that level, 2022 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
4.0
42.9%
21W–28L · 47.2% of games
4.5
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
8.0mixed
37.5%
12W–20L · 48.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history83 matches
L
2026-07-19 · PTC-White/Reis · #2 Doubles · 8.0 · with Danielle Cuenco
+0.000better than expected — took 41% of games against 35% expected
7-5, 6-4
W
Jeff Cronn / Edward Lang
2026-07-07 · Peterson · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jonathan Gonzales
+0.014better than expected — took 52% of games against 47% expected
5-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
Joel Mercier / Richard Yan
2026-06-14 · Peterson · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jonathan Gonzales
0.033below expectation — took 41% of games against 56% expected
7-6, 6-3
L
2026-06-12 · WHRC-Reis · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jason Dortch
0.030below expectation — took 14% of games against 36% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
Peter Brown / Mark Johnston
2026-06-06 · WHRC-Reis · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Philip Stephenson
0.009below expectation — took 35% of games against 41% expected
6-2, 7-5
L
2026-04-26 · WHRC-Reis · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jason Moore-Greenke
0.014below expectation — took 20% of games against 34% expected
6-0, 6-3
L
2026-04-25 · WHRC-Reis · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Eric Peterson
+0.003about as expected — took 33% of games against 36% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
2026-03-22 · WHRC-Reis · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Tony Moreno
+0.012about as expected — took 44% of games against 40% expected
7-6, 7-5
L
2026-03-15 · WHRC-Reis · #1 Singles · 4.0
0.055below expectation — took 33% of games against 59% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
2026-01-24 · WHRC-Reis · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Philip Stephenson
0.037below expectation — took 47% of games against 61% expected
3-6, 6-3, 1-0
L
2026-01-10 · WHRC-Reis · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Philip Stephenson
0.001about as expected — took 48% of games against 48% expected
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
2026-01-02 · WHRC-Reis · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Philip Stephenson
0.002about as expected — took 41% of games against 43% expected
6-4, 7-5
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.