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Sarah Carrato

PORTLAND, OR
4.0C year-end 2025
143 matches · 77W–66L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
3.54.04.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.44
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
79%
down to 3.5
21%
stay 4.0
0%
up to 4.5
Projected to December: 53% down · 47% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.49. Higher than today’s 3.44 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.0 runs from 3.51 to 4.00. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
PORTLAND · 4.0
9 of 9
OR · 4.0
482 of 498

Sarah is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Teams56 teams · 2014–2026
PTC-White
2026 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Women
2026
PTC-White
2026 Adult 40 & Over · 4.0 Women
2026
GLVR-Carrato/Kanz
2026 Mixed 18 & Over · 8.0 Mixed
2026
GLVR-Carrato
2025 Adult 40 & Over · 4.0 Women
2025
GLVR-Kanz
2025 Mixed 40 & Over · 8.0 Mixed
2025
CGM-Carrato/Cowling
2025 Adult 18 & Over · 4.0 Women
2025
Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Sarah has played at 3.5, 4.0 across 8 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

3.03.54.020192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.0, Sarah has gone from the 8th to the 7th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
87.5%
42W–6L · 64.3% of games
4.0
42.4%
28W–38L · 45.6% of games
7.0mixed
18.2%
2W–9L · 46% of games
8.0mixed
13.3%
2W–13L · 38.8% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history143 matches
L
Chelsea Clark / Jennifer Witty
2026-06-06 · PTC-White · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Holly Kanz
0.046below expectation — took 20% of games against 46% expected
6-0, 6-3
L
2026-05-01 · PTC-White · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Holly Kanz
0.018below expectation — took 29% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 6-1
L
2026-04-24 · PTC-White · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jennifer Simmons
0.016below expectation — took 25% of games against 38% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
2026-04-19 · PTC-White · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Jennifer Simmons
+0.006about as expected — took 63% of games against 58% expected
6-4, 6-3
L
2026-02-21 · PTC-White · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Morgan Cowling
0.060below expectation — took 8% of games against 42% expected
6-0, 6-1
W
2026-02-07 · PTC-White · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Morgan Cowling
+0.062better than expected — took 59% of games against 35% expected
6-1, 3-6, 1-0
L
2026-01-18 · PTC-White · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Patricia Board
0.067below expectation — took 29% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 6-2
W
2026-01-03 · PTC-White · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Holly Kanz
+0.014about as expected — took 50% of games against 45% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
2025-11-15 · GLVR-Carrato/Kanz · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with Joe Entler
+0.000below expectation — took 8% of games against 29% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
2025-07-20 · GLVR-Kanz · #1 Doubles · 8.0 · with Austin Rice-Stitt
+0.000below expectation — took 8% of games against 27% expected
6-0, 6-1
L
2025-07-19 · GLVR-Kanz · #3 Doubles · 8.0 · with John Kin
+0.000better than expected — took 42% of games against 36% expected
6-2, 4-6, 1-0
W
2025-06-15 · CGM-Carrato/Cowling · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with JENNIFER BELOY
0.027below expectation — took 60% of games against 67% expected
6-4, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.