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Jennifer McIntosh

Seattle, WA
4.5C year-end 2025
105 matches · 56W–49L · seasons 20192026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.94
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 6 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
79%
down to 4.0
21%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 53% down · 47% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.99. Higher than today’s 3.94 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 4.5
87 of 103
WA · 4.5
303 of 364

Jennifer is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Jennifer has been a steady 4.5 across all 8 seasons on record.

4.04.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history. The smaller, faded points — 2021 — rest on fewer than 5 matches, where the estimate is mostly the level the player was entered at rather than anything they did on court. Read the shape, not the value.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Jennifer has gone from the 21st to the 76th percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
4.0
80%
12W–3L · 61.4% of games
4.5
46%
23W–27L · 50.1% of games
7.0mixed
75%
3W–1L · 56.8% of games
8.0mixed
52.9%
9W–8L · 49.8% of games
9.0mixed
25%
2W–6L · 41.5% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history105 matches
W
Katie Lacayo-hendricks / Angela Byrum
2026-05-17 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Gina la Porta
0.002about as expected — took 43% of games against 47% expected
1-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
2026-04-05 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Karolina Simons
+0.027better than expected — took 80% of games against 62% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
N/A
2026-03-14 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Kaci Okumoto
0.122about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
2026-03-01 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Gina la Porta
+0.023better than expected — took 62% of games against 50% expected
6-3, 7-5
L
Selma Adilagic / Kyri Khouri
2026-02-08 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Linda Chung
+0.048better than expected — took 50% of games against 32% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
2026-01-18 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Diana Nickel
0.073below expectation — took 29% of games against 62% expected
6-1, 6-4
L
Emily Barrett / Katie Hambley
2025-06-01 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Gina la Porta
0.016about as expected — took 53% of games against 57% expected
6-2, 0-6, 1-0
L
Alexandra van Hoy / Grace Bethards
2025-05-03 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Annie Chechitelli
+0.006about as expected — took 47% of games against 44% expected
2-6, 6-2, 1-0
L
2025-04-13 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Gina la Porta
0.019below expectation — took 29% of games against 42% expected
6-3, 6-2
L
Julie Neiley / Sheryl Brown
2025-03-02 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Gina la Porta
+0.006about as expected — took 43% of games against 41% expected
5-7, 6-2, 1-0
W
2025-02-15 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Gina la Porta
+0.065better than expected — took 86% of games against 51% expected
6-0, 6-2
W
2025-01-24 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Kaila Yun
+0.014better than expected — took 75% of games against 63% expected
6-2, 6-2
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.