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Deb Nielsen

Kirkland, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
115 matches · 68W–47L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.50
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 25 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
48%
stay 3.5
52%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 84% stay · 16% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.42. Lower than today’s 3.50 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Kirkland · 3.5
6 of 45
WA · 3.5
85 of 1209

Deb is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Deb has been 3.5 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

3.03.52019202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Deb has gone from the 86th to the 87th percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level4 levels played
3.5
66.3%
59W–30L · 56.2% of games
4.0
38.5%
5W–8L · 43.2% of games
8.0
2W–1L
not enough matches yet
7.0mixed
16.7%
1W–5L · 38.1% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history115 matches
L
Archana Kumar / Vijay Gosaliamixed
2026-07-25 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Marshall Winget
+0.000about as expected — took 43% of games against 41% expected
6-7, 6-3, 1-0
L
DHARAM PATULE / Ale Jimenezmixed
2026-06-27 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Thomas Lynch
+0.000below expectation — took 28% of games against 38% expected
7-5, 6-0
W
2026-06-07 · #1 Singles · 3.5
−0.013about as expected — took 62% of games against 64% expected
6-1, 6-7, 1-0
W
2026-06-06 · #2 Doubles · 3.5 · with Emily Apfel
−0.008about as expected — took 58% of games against 60% expected
7-5, 4-3
L
Monica Norris
2026-05-29 · #1 Singles · 4.0
−0.076below expectation — took 20% of games against 58% expected
6-0, 6-3
W
Khin Oo
2026-05-24 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.067better than expected — took 100% of games against 60% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
Mona Elsing
2026-05-15 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.040better than expected — took 92% of games against 65% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
2026-05-15 · #1 Doubles · 4.0 · with Joanna Bengford
+0.002about as expected — took 46% of games against 45% expected
6-7, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-05-10 · #1 Singles · 3.5
−0.001about as expected — took 45% of games against 46% expected
6-3, 5-7, 1-0
L
2026-05-08 · #1 Singles · 4.0
+0.027about as expected — took 29% of games against 27% expected
6-1, 6-4
W
2026-05-03 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.018better than expected — took 63% of games against 54% expected
6-3, 6-4
W
2026-05-01 · #2 Doubles · 4.0 · with Joanna Bengford
+0.037better than expected — took 48% of games against 37% expected
7-6, 3-6, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

Signing in lets you point an account at your own record and keep things alongside it: notes on individual matches, your racquet and string setup, restring reminders, friendly matches that never reach TennisLink, and a diary of what you changed and what happened after.

None of it is visible to anyone else. Not to other players, not on your public page, not in search. Every private table is scoped to your account at the database level, so it is enforced rather than promised. The public page you are looking at is built from USTA match results and nothing else.

Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.