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Alex Hart

Portland, OR
4.5C year-end 2025
71 matches · 42W–29L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
4.04.55.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.98
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
60%
down to 4.0
40%
stay 4.5
0%
up to 5.0
Projected to December: 37% down · 63% stay · 0% up, from a year-end estimate of 4.03. Higher than today’s 3.98 because players this far below their band have historically finished nearer the middle of it.

A 4.5 runs from 4.01 to 4.50. This rating sits in the bottom of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Portland · 4.5
90 of 119
OR · 4.5
167 of 226

Alex is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Alex has been 4.5 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the bottom of the band to the middle.

4.04.52019202020222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 4.5, Alex has gone from the 80th to the 41st percentile of players at that level, 2019 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level3 levels played
4.5
68.4%
39W–18L · 53.1% of games
5.0
0%
0W–4L · 29.9% of games
9.0mixed
0W–1L
not enough matches yet

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history71 matches
W
Danh Nguyen / Jameson Lumpkin
2026-07-29 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Shane Adam Young
+0.031better than expected — took 52% of games against 40% expected
7-5, 5-7, 1-0
L
2026-07-26 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Eddie Schultz
−0.041below expectation — took 25% of games against 47% expected
6-1, 6-3
W
Matt Fanelli / Kyle Kinderknecht
2026-07-12 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Shane Adam Young
+0.023better than expected — took 59% of games against 48% expected
6-4, 7-5
L
2026-07-11 · #3 Doubles · 9.0 · with Kasey Williams
+0.000better than expected — took 48% of games against 36% expected
7-6, 6-7, 1-0
L
2026-04-25 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Corey Kincaid
−0.019below expectation — took 14% of games against 32% expected
6-1, 6-1
W
Justin Ford / Joseph Palodichuk
2026-04-19 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Ryley Schultz
+0.042better than expected — took 75% of games against 53% expected
6-4, 6-0
W
2026-03-21 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jon Monson
+0.000about as expected — took 50% of games against 51% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Vimal Natarajan / Ajay Kumar Tippisetti
2026-02-06 · #2 Doubles · 4.5 · with Michael Laport
−0.007about as expected — took 47% of games against 52% expected
6-3, 1-6, 1-0
W
2026-01-31 · #3 Doubles · 4.5 · with Jon Monson
−0.005about as expected — took 50% of games against 53% expected
4-6, 7-6, 1-0
W
2025-08-09 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Ryley Schultz
+0.001about as expected — took 50% of games against 51% expected
6-6
W
N/A
2025-07-26 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Ryley Schultz
−0.132about as expected — took 100% of games against 96% expected
6-0, 6-0
W
Jordan Burns / Daniel Burns
2025-07-12 · #1 Doubles · 4.5 · with Andrew Slominski
+0.026better than expected — took 57% of games against 46% expected
5-7, 6-2, 1-0
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.