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Matt MacArthur

Seattle, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
99 matches · 48W–51L · seasons 20202026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

2.93
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 9 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
81%
stay 3.0
19%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 95% stay · 5% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.87. Lower than today’s 2.93 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.0
97 of 213
WA · 3.0
423 of 960

Matt is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Matt has been 3.0 for all 7 seasons on record, but moved a long way inside it — from the middle of the band to the top.

2.53.02020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, Matt has gone from the 32nd to the 14th percentile of players at that level, 2020 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
51.3%
40W–38L · 49.1% of games
3.5
0W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
6.0mixed
46.2%
6W–7L · 47.5% of games
7.0mixed
25%
1W–3L · 42.9% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history99 matches
L
Yangtao Zhang / Xiangjie Li
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Daniel Chua
0.018below expectation — took 48% of games against 55% expected
4-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
Changsung Moon / Barry Chu
2026-05-16 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kevin Crowe
+0.025better than expected — took 57% of games against 46% expected
5-7, 6-2, 1-0
L
Desmond Harvey / Robby Carre
2026-04-26 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Terrance Creighton
0.031below expectation — took 43% of games against 57% expected
6-7, 6-3, 1-0
L
Nik Garkusha / Sunil Tahilramani
2026-03-08 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Daniel Chua
0.006below expectation — took 20% of games against 32% expected
6-1, 6-2
W
Tom Bice / Bryan Goode
2026-03-07 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kevin Crowe
+0.002about as expected — took 45% of games against 47% expected
7-6, 2-6, 1-0
L
Chi Yi / Han Zhao
2026-02-21 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Ivan Mi Yu
0.010below expectation — took 40% of games against 45% expected
6-0, 2-6, 1-0
L
Arthur Nakata / Ted Calhoon
2026-01-24 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Kevin Crowe
0.020below expectation — took 33% of games against 45% expected
6-4, 6-2
L
Jason Eggebrecht / Chase Costello
2026-01-11 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Daniel Chua
0.067below expectation — took 20% of games against 54% expected
6-2, 6-1
W
2026-01-02 · #1 Doubles · 3.0 · with Daniel Chua
+0.016better than expected — took 50% of games against 44% expected
7-5, 3-6, 1-0
W
Sam Liu / Tzu-Chi Lin
2025-05-11 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Richard Kocher
0.003about as expected — took 54% of games against 55% expected
7-5, 6-7, 1-0
W
Steve Lin / C Todd Rentschler
2025-05-03 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Dustin Ong
+0.015better than expected — took 54% of games against 48% expected
7-5, 6-6
W
Kyuho Lee / Zeya Zhang
2025-04-13 · #2 Doubles · 3.0 · with Dustin Ong
+0.032better than expected — took 80% of games against 60% expected
6-1, 6-2
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.