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Evan Lerer

Seattle, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
149 matches · 71W–78L · seasons 2019–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.41
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 21 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
87%
stay 3.5
13%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 97% stay · 3% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.35. Lower than today’s 3.41 because form regresses — players this far into their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Seattle · 3.5
56 of 256
WA · 3.5
255 of 1209

Evan is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Evan has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 8 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.53.03.520192020202120222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Evan has gone from the 52nd to the 51st percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
3.0
69.2%
18W–8L · 57.2% of games
3.5
50.7%
35W–34L · 53.2% of games
4.0
33.3%
4W–8L · 38.6% of games
6.0mixed
46.2%
12W–14L · 50.4% of games
7.0mixed
12.5%
2W–14L · 41.7% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history149 matches
L
Laura Borner / Timur Sadykovmixed
2026-07-10 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Erica Lerer
+0.000about as expected — took 48% of games against 52% expected
4-6, 7-5, 1-0
L
2026-06-28 · #2 Doubles · 7.0 · with Erica Lerer
+0.000below expectation — took 25% of games against 48% expected
6-0, 6-4
W
Cameron Renteria
2026-06-10 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.056better than expected — took 92% of games against 59% expected
6-1, 6-0
L
Brian Koh / David Koh
2026-05-16 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Peter Claassen
−0.040below expectation — took 33% of games against 53% expected
6-2, 6-4
W
2026-05-09 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.003better than expected — took 67% of games against 62% expected
6-3, 6-3
L
Anurag Mylavarapu
2026-05-08 · #1 Singles · 3.5
−0.023below expectation — took 50% of games against 58% expected
6-4, 3-5
W
2026-05-06 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.058better than expected — took 75% of games against 46% expected
6-3, 6-1
W
Andrew Zarate / Andreas Keodara
2026-05-01 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Peter Claassen
+0.015better than expected — took 58% of games against 51% expected
7-5, 7-5
L
2026-04-18 · #2 Singles · 3.5
−0.019below expectation — took 25% of games against 39% expected
6-2, 6-2
W
Dennis Korevitski
2026-04-12 · #2 Singles · 3.5
+0.056better than expected — took 86% of games against 55% expected
6-2, 6-0
W
shumit vatsal
2026-03-29 · #1 Singles · 3.5
+0.002about as expected — took 59% of games against 57% expected
3-6, 6-1, 1-0
W
Alvin Han
2026-03-28 · #2 Singles · 3.5
−0.049below expectation — took 43% of games against 64% expected
7-6, 1-6, 1-0
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.