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David Zhao

Redmond, WA
3.0C year-end 2025
133 matches · 77W–56L · seasons 20232026
Bump probability
2.53.03.5lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.02
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 45 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 2.5
38%
stay 3.0
62%
up to 3.5
Projected to December: 0% down · 79% stay · 21% up, from a year-end estimate of 2.94. Lower than today’s 3.02 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.0 runs from 2.51 to 3.00. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
Redmond · 3.0
8 of 17
WA · 3.0
203 of 755

David is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

David has played at 2.5, 3.0 across 4 seasons — 1 move up and 0 down.

2.02.53.02023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.0, David has gone from the 7th to the 67th percentile of players at that level, 2023 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level5 levels played
2.5
100%
5W–0L · 67% of games
3.0
60.6%
40W–26L · 54.5% of games
3.5
40%
8W–12L · 47.4% of games
6.0mixed
59.1%
13W–9L · 58.6% of games
7.0mixed
57.1%
4W–3L · 50% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history133 matches
L
2026-07-25 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Margaret Zheng
+0.000below expectation — took 28% of games against 45% expected
6-0, 7-5
W
Kevin Bauer / Heather Bauermixed
2026-07-25 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Meghan Bradner
+0.000better than expected — took 75% of games against 48% expected
6-4, 6-0
L
Joe van Zyl / CALVIN RUTHERFORD
2026-07-22 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Charles Zhang
+0.015about as expected — took 38% of games against 36% expected
7-6, 6-2
W
Zhe Feng / Ximeng Jia
2026-07-21 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Charles Zhang
+0.026better than expected — took 50% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
L
2026-07-15 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Charles Zhang
0.034below expectation — took 37% of games against 53% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
2026-07-14 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Charles Zhang
+0.058better than expected — took 68% of games against 41% expected
7-5, 6-1
W
Tony Small / Lisa Smallmixed
2026-07-12 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Stephanie Artati
+0.000better than expected — took 100% of games against 55% expected
6-0, 6-0
L
2026-07-05 · #1 Doubles · 7.0 · with Margaret Zheng
+0.000about as expected — took 41% of games against 41% expected
6-4, 7-5
L
Heather Michail / Michael Wongmixed
2026-06-27 · #3 Doubles · 6.0 · with Christie Cabrera
+0.000below expectation — took 46% of games against 52% expected
6-7, 6-4, 1-0
W
Jason Eggebrecht
2026-06-25 · #1 Singles · 3.0
0.060below expectation — took 39% of games against 66% expected
2-6, 5-5
L
2026-06-23 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Charles Zhang
0.041below expectation — took 43% of games against 60% expected
6-3, 6-7, 1-0
W
David Ou / Elizabeth Amickmixed
2026-06-21 · #1 Doubles · 6.0 · with Christie Cabrera
+0.000better than expected — took 67% of games against 58% expected
6-2, 6-4
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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.