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Kelsey Duncombe-Smith

REDMOND, WA
3.5C year-end 2025
115 matches · 83W–32L · seasons 2022–2026
Bump probability
3.03.54.0lowhigh

Where this rating stands today. Taller means more likely. The dashed lines are the band edges, and the three shaded areas are the three percentages below.

3.56
estimated dynamic rating
Where the rating sits now, on 32 matches this season · USTA never publishes this number
0%
down to 3.0
22%
stay 3.5
78%
up to 4.0
Projected to December: 0% down · 68% stay · 32% up, from a year-end estimate of 3.46. Lower than today’s 3.56 because form regresses — players this far above their band partway through a season have historically finished nearer the middle of it. Keep playing at this level and the numbers above are the ones that hold.

A 3.5 runs from 3.01 to 3.50. This rating sits in the top of the band, and every match moves it.

Our estimate, not a USTA figure — scale measured at this point of 2023 on 2160 players. Graded publicly in December when USTA publishes year-end ratings. It moves when you play, and occasionally when we improve the model.

Where you rank
REDMOND · 3.5
1 of 7
WA · 3.5
42 of 1209

Kelsey is ranked among players at the same level in the same place, by our estimated dynamic rating — not the published level, which is the same for everyone in the band. Groups smaller than five are not ranked, because a placing out of two is noise dressed as standing.

Over timerating by season, and how you rank
Rating by season

Kelsey has played at 3.0, 3.5 across 5 seasons — 2 moves up and 1 down.

2.53.03.520222023202420252026

The line is our estimate; the horizontal lines are level boundaries, so crossing one is a bump. Hollow points are years we inferred from the level played the following season, because USTA publishes a current rating but no history.

How you rank at your level
At 3.5, Kelsey has gone from the 38th to the 87th percentile of players at that level, 2024 to 2026.

Percentile compares the same level in the same season, by share of games won. Mixed is shown for context — USTA rules exclude it from your adult rating unless mixed is all you play.

By level6 levels played
0.0
1W–1L
not enough matches yet
3.0
77.8%
21W–6L · 61.5% of games
3.5
63.6%
21W–12L · 56.7% of games
4.0
75%
3W–1L · 57.4% of games
6.0mixed
83.3%
20W–4L · 64.1% of games
7.0mixed
100%
11W–0L · 73% of games

Games won matters more than matches won — NTRP adjusts on margins.

Match history115 matches
L
Eliza Weiniger
2026-07-29 · #1 Female Singles · 0.0
−0.089below expectation — took 40% of games against 70% expected
6-4
W
2026-07-27 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Janine Sy
−0.015below expectation — took 50% of games against 57% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
L
2026-07-26 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Janine Sy
+0.020better than expected — took 50% of games against 41% expected
6-3, 2-6, 1-0
W
Alexis Chen
2026-07-15 · #1 Female Singles · 0.0
+0.023better than expected — took 86% of games against 66% expected
6-1
L
2026-07-10 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Alexis Chen
−0.010about as expected — took 55% of games against 56% expected
2-6, 7-6, 1-0
L
Erin Callaghan / Alexa Helsell McIntyrechamps
2026-06-20 · #2 Doubles · with Melissa Deng
−0.038below expectation — took 50% of games against 63% expected
6-4, 3-6, 1-0
L
2026-06-14 · #3 Doubles · with Melissa Deng
−0.039below expectation — took 50% of games against 63% expected
3-6, 6-4, 1-0
W
2026-06-12 · #2 Doubles · with Melissa Deng
+0.038better than expected — took 86% of games against 61% expected
6-1, 6-1
L
Shubhangi Handa / Abhinaya Raghothaman
2026-06-07 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Dina Apostolou
+0.008about as expected — took 37% of games against 37% expected
6-4, 6-3
W
Leilani Logan / Ping Xu
2026-05-30 · #1 Doubles · 3.5 · with Melissa Deng
+0.002better than expected — took 80% of games against 69% expected
6-0, 6-3
W
Susan Kushibuchi / Debra Born
2026-05-30 · #3 Doubles · 4.0 · with Katherine Gan
+0.018better than expected — took 71% of games against 59% expected
6-2, 6-3
W
2026-05-22 · #3 Doubles · 3.5 · with Melissa Deng
+0.038better than expected — took 80% of games against 58% expected
6-0, 6-3
What an account addsprivate to you

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Not affiliated with or endorsed by the USTA. Rating shown is the published USTA year-end figure; match data is from USTA TennisLink.